Sport Picks
Coastal Union vs Mashujaa
Tanzania
Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 Mkwakwani Stadium, Tanga 
Match Events
11'
11'
Salum M.
21'
21'
Yusuph K.
41'
41'
Sub
Yusuph K. In: Mhagama C.
Out: Yusuph K.
AI Match Summary
Coastal Union in this Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Coastal Union.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
15%
39%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Coastal Union
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Mashujaa haven't matched Coastal Union's recent run of results.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- Regular Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Coastal Union Clean Sheet 17%
Mashujaa Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Coastal Union | Mashujaa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 32 |
| Wins | 13 | 9 |
| Draws | 9 | 10 |
| Losses | 12 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.15 | 0.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.24 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 15, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Coastal Union vs Mashujaa
0:1
May 24, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Coastal Union vs Mashujaa
1:0
Dec 1, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mashujaa vs Coastal Union
0:0
Feb 11, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mashujaa vs Coastal Union
0:0
Sep 13, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Coastal Union vs Mashujaa
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Coastal Union Compare
Top Goalscorer Maulid M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
Mashujaa Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Coastal Union 36 / 100
Mashujaa 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Coastal Union Mashujaa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Mashujaa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Coastal Union found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (34 games).
Mashujaa has conceded goals in 63% of their last 32 outings.
Coastal Union went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Mashujaa lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Coastal Union VS Mashujaa
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Coastal Union
(Home) 12 Sept
Coastal Union
2 : 1 JKT Tanzania
06 Sept
Polisi Tanzania
1 : 2 Coastal Union
27 Aug
Simba
1 : 0 Coastal Union
24 Aug
Coastal Union
1 : 1 TRA United
20 Aug
Young Africans
4 : 1 Coastal Union
Page 1 of 7
12 Sept
Coastal Union
2 : 1 JKT Tanzania
24 Aug
Coastal Union
1 : 1 TRA United
15 Aug
Coastal Union
0 : 1 Mashujaa
30 Jun
Coastal Union
2 : 1 Pamba
27 Jun
Coastal Union
0 : 2 Azam
Page 1 of 4
Mashujaa
(Away) 09 Sept
Mashujaa
2 : 1 Singida Black Stars
04 Sept
Dodoma Jiji
1 : 0 Mashujaa
27 Aug
Mashujaa
2 : 1 Kagera Sugar
23 Aug
Mbeya City
2 : 1 Mashujaa
18 Aug
Fountain Gate
1 : 0 Mashujaa
Page 1 of 7
04 Sept
Dodoma Jiji
1 : 0 Mashujaa
23 Aug
Mbeya City
2 : 1 Mashujaa
18 Aug
Fountain Gate
1 : 0 Mashujaa
15 Aug
Coastal Union
0 : 1 Mashujaa
24 Jun
Fountain Gate
0 : 1 Mashujaa
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Young Africans | 30 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 71:9 | 75 |
| 2 | Simba | 30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 54:11 | 73 |
| 3 | Azam | 30 | 18 | 10 | 2 | 46:12 | 64 |
| 4 | Singida Black Stars | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 47:35 | 50 |
| 5 | TRA United | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 33:28 | 43 |
| 6 | JKT Tanzania | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 30:33 | 42 |
| 7 | Pamba | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 32:35 | 36 |
| 8 | Coastal Union | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 31:37 | 36 |
| 9 | Dodoma Jiji | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 25:36 | 35 |
| 10 | Namungo | 30 | 7 | 13 | 10 | 25:32 | 34 |
| 11 | Mashujaa | 30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 15:27 | 33 |
| 12 | Fountain Gate | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 25:44 | 33 |
| 13 | Tanzania Prisons | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 23:41 | 32 |
| 14 | Mbeya City | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 24:41 | 30 |
| 15 | Mtibwa Sugar | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 25:48 | 27 |
| 16 | Kinondoni MC | 30 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 16:53 | 9 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 (Relegation)
