Sport Picks

Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara Mkwakwani Stadium

Mashujaa

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Coastal Union play Mashujaa in the Ligi Kuu Bara. It looks like a close match. Recently, Coastal Union averaged 1.07 goals scored and 1.23 conceded. Mashujaa averaged 0.47 goals scored and 0.9 conceded. In past meetings, Coastal Union won 2, Mashujaa won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 24, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Coastal Union and 0.81 for Mashujaa. This points to a Coastal Union double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%

Coastal Union

35%

Draws

28%

Mashujaa

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Coastal Union

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence

Coastal Union picked up more points recently compared to Mashujaa.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 0.81 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 54%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 15%

Over 4.5 Goals 8%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31%

Coastal Union Clean Sheet 26%

Mashujaa Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 49%

Second Half Goal 51%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Coastal Union	Mashujaa
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	10	7
Draws	9	11
Losses	11	12
Goals Scored	1.07	0.47
Goals Conceded	1.23	0.9
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara

Coastal Union vs Mashujaa

Possession: 46% - 53% Cards: 3 - 1

1:0

Dec 1, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara

Mashujaa vs Coastal Union

Possession: 56% - 40% Cards: 2 - 3

0:0

Feb 11, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara

Mashujaa vs Coastal Union

Possession: 40% - 47% Cards: 0 - 2

0:0

Sep 13, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara

Coastal Union vs Mashujaa

Possession: 54% - 56% Cards: 3 - 1

0:1

Apr 12, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara

Mashujaa vs Coastal Union

Possession: 53% - 48% Cards: 2 - 4

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Coastal Union Compare

Top Goalscorer Maulid M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Mashujaa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.23

Avg xA / game 0.14

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coastal Union 39 / 100

Mashujaa 28 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Coastal Union Mashujaa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Coastal Union or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +27.6%

3.45

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +31.5%

5.26

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Coastal Union attacking → ← attacking Mashujaa

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Coastal Union scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Mashujaa let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Coastal Union went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Mashujaa lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

39 Points in last 5 32

1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.25

1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Young Africans	30	23	6	1	71:9	75
2	Simba	30	22	7	1	54:11	73
3	Azam	30	18	10	2	46:12	64
4	Singida Black Stars	30	15	5	10	47:35	50
5	TRA United	30	11	10	9	33:28	43
6	JKT Tanzania	30	10	12	8	30:33	42
7	Pamba	30	9	9	12	32:35	36
8	Coastal Union	30	9	9	12	31:37	36
9	Dodoma Jiji	30	8	11	11	25:36	35
10	Namungo	30	7	13	10	25:32	34
11	Mashujaa	30	7	12	11	15:27	33
12	Fountain Gate	30	9	6	15	25:44	33
13	Tanzania Prisons	30	9	5	16	23:41	32
14	Mbeya City	30	7	9	14	24:41	30
15	Mtibwa Sugar	30	6	9	15	25:48	27
16	Kinondoni MC	30	2	3	25	16:53	9