Sport Picks
Coastal Union vs Pamba - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Tanzania
Federation Cup Mkwakwani Stadium, Tanga 
Match Events
30'
30'
Kiala L.
35'
35'
Msangi A.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-0. This leg finished 2-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
59%
15%
26%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Coastal Union
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Coastal Union have won more games recently than Pamba.
- 59% — that's where the model lands on Coastal Union taking it.
- Coastal Union have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Coastal Union, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Coastal Union Clean Sheet 20%
Pamba Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Coastal Union | Pamba |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 11 | 7 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 11 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.42 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 30, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Coastal Union vs Pamba
2:1
Apr 11, 2026 Federation Cup
Coastal Union vs Pamba
2:0
Feb 6, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Pamba vs Coastal Union
3:0
Feb 15, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Pamba vs Coastal Union
2:0
Sep 28, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Coastal Union vs Pamba
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Coastal Union Compare
Top Goalscorer Kiala L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Msangi A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Pamba Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Coastal Union 76 / 100
Pamba 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Coastal Union Pamba
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Coastal Union Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Coastal Union scored in 72% of their last 29 games.
Pamba has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Solid form: Coastal Union remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Coastal Union VS Pamba
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Coastal Union
(Home) 12 Sept
Coastal Union
2 : 1 JKT Tanzania
06 Sept
Polisi Tanzania
1 : 2 Coastal Union
27 Aug
Simba
1 : 0 Coastal Union
24 Aug
Coastal Union
1 : 1 TRA United
20 Aug
Young Africans
4 : 1 Coastal Union
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Coastal Union
2 : 1 JKT Tanzania
24 Aug
Coastal Union
1 : 1 TRA United
15 Aug
Coastal Union
0 : 1 Mashujaa
30 Jun
Coastal Union
2 : 1 Pamba
27 Jun
Coastal Union
0 : 2 Azam
Page 1 of 3
Pamba
(Away) 08 Oct
Pamba
4 : 0 Geita Gold
13 Sept
Pamba
1 : 3 TRA United
05 Sept
JKT Tanzania
3 : 0 Pamba
28 Aug
Young Africans
2 : 0 Pamba
23 Aug
Azam
2 : 1 Pamba
Page 1 of 7
05 Sept
JKT Tanzania
3 : 0 Pamba
28 Aug
Young Africans
2 : 0 Pamba
23 Aug
Azam
2 : 1 Pamba
30 Jun
Coastal Union
2 : 1 Pamba
14 Jun
Simba
2 : 1 Pamba
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/8-finals
Simba 3
Dodoma Jiji 1
Namungo 0
TRA United 2
Coastal Union 2
Pamba 0
Singida Black Stars 5
Mbeya City 1
Geita Gold 0
Mashujaa 1
Azam 4
Fountain Gate 0
JKT Tanzania 3
Mbuni 0
Young Africans 1
TMA Stars 0
Quarter-finals
Simba 4
TRA United 0
Coastal Union 1
Singida Black Stars 0
Mashujaa 0
Azam 1
JKT Tanzania 0
Young Africans 2
Semi-finals
Simba 4
Coastal Union 0
Azam 3
Young Africans 2
Final
Simba 1
Azam 0
