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Coastal Union vs Singida Black Stars Prediction & H2H Stats

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 Mkwakwani Stadium, Tanga
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Maulid M.
(Penalty)
16' Event
Msimu B.
Assist: Gwalala G.
33'
Kheri A.

AI Match Summary

Coastal Union in this Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Coastal Union.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Coastal Union
15%
Draws
54%
Singida Black Stars
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Singida Black Stars

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Singida Black Stars have won more games recently than Coastal Union.
  • Model gives Singida Black Stars a 54% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 78.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Coastal Union Clean Sheet 12%
Singida Black Stars Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coastal Union Singida Black Stars
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 11 19
Draws 7 2
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.21 2.12
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.30 1.71
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Federation Cup
Coastal Union vs Singida Black Stars
1:0
May 2, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Coastal Union vs Singida Black Stars
2:1
Mar 2, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Singida Black Stars vs Coastal Union
1:0
Apr 10, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Coastal Union vs Singida Black Stars
2:1
Nov 2, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Singida Black Stars vs Coastal Union
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Coastal Union Compare

Top Goalscorer Msimu B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1
Avg xA / game 0.65

Singida Black Stars Compare

Avg xG / game 1.55
Avg xA / game 0.95

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coastal Union 10 / 100
Singida Black Stars 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coastal Union Singida Black Stars

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Singida Black Stars Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Coastal Union found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Singida Black Stars let in goals in 76% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Solid form: Coastal Union remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Coastal Union VS Singida Black Stars
0.86 Goals Scored 2.13
1.29 Goals Conceded 1.75
57% Over 1.5 100%
43% Over 2.5 75%
14% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Coastal Union

(Home)
12 Sept
Coastal Union
2 : 1
JKT Tanzania
06 Sept
Polisi Tanzania
1 : 2
Coastal Union
27 Aug
Simba
1 : 0
Coastal Union
24 Aug
Coastal Union
1 : 1
TRA United
20 Aug
Young Africans
4 : 1
Coastal Union
Page 1 of 6

Singida Black Stars

(Away)
13 Sept
Singida Black Stars
3 : 0
Al-Ghazala
09 Sept
Mashujaa
2 : 1
Singida Black Stars
06 Sept
Al-Ghazala
1 : 7
Singida Black Stars
01 Sept
Singida Black Stars
3 : 2
Namungo
29 Aug
Singida Black Stars
4 : 2
Polisi Tanzania
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Young Africans 30 23 6 1 71:9 75
2 Simba 30 22 7 1 54:11 73
3 Azam 30 18 10 2 46:12 64
4 Singida Black Stars 30 15 5 10 47:35 50
5 TRA United 30 11 10 9 33:28 43
6 JKT Tanzania 30 10 12 8 30:33 42
7 Pamba 30 9 9 12 32:35 36
8 Coastal Union 30 9 9 12 31:37 36
9 Dodoma Jiji 30 8 11 11 25:36 35
10 Namungo 30 7 13 10 25:32 34
11 Mashujaa 30 7 12 11 15:27 33
12 Fountain Gate 30 9 6 15 25:44 33
13 Tanzania Prisons 30 9 5 16 23:41 32
14 Mbeya City 30 7 9 14 24:41 30
15 Mtibwa Sugar 30 6 9 15 25:48 27
16 Kinondoni MC 30 2 3 25 16:53 9
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 (Relegation)