Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Coastal Union vs Singida Black Stars

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 Mkwakwani Stadium, Tanga
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Maulid M.
(Penalty)
16' Event
Msimu B.
Assist: Gwalala G.
33'
Kheri A.

AI Match Summary

Coastal Union in this Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Coastal Union.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Coastal Union
22%
Draws
60%
Singida Black Stars
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Singida Black Stars

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Singida Black Stars have won more games recently than Coastal Union.
  • Model gives Singida Black Stars a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Coastal Union Clean Sheet 16%
Singida Black Stars Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coastal Union Singida Black Stars
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 10 15
Draws 9 4
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.25 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Federation Cup
Coastal Union vs Singida Black Stars
1:0
May 2, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Coastal Union vs Singida Black Stars
2:1
Mar 2, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Singida Black Stars vs Coastal Union
1:0
Apr 10, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Coastal Union vs Singida Black Stars
2:1
Nov 2, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Singida Black Stars vs Coastal Union
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Coastal Union Compare

Top Goalscorer Msimu B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Singida Black Stars Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coastal Union 19 / 100
Singida Black Stars 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coastal Union Singida Black Stars

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SBS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Coastal Union found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Singida Black Stars let in goals in 75% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Solid form: Coastal Union remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Coastal Union VS Singida Black Stars
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Coastal Union

(Home)
30 Jun
Coastal Union
2 : 1
Pamba
27 Jun
Coastal Union
0 : 2
Azam
24 Jun
TRA United
1 : 1
Coastal Union
20 Jun
Simba
4 : 0
Coastal Union
15 Jun
Kinondoni MC
1 : 3
Coastal Union
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Singida Black Stars

(Away)
30 Jun
Fountain Gate
4 : 3
Singida Black Stars
27 Jun
Simba
2 : 0
Singida Black Stars
24 Jun
Singida Black Stars
3 : 1
Tanzania Prisons
17 Jun
Singida Black Stars
5 : 0
Dodoma Jiji
13 Jun
JKT Tanzania
1 : 2
Singida Black Stars
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Young Africans30236171:975
2Simba30227154:1173
3Azam301810246:1264
4Singida Black Stars301551047:3550
5TRA United301110933:2843
6JKT Tanzania301012830:3342
7Pamba30991232:3536
8Coastal Union30991231:3736
9Dodoma Jiji308111125:3635
10Namungo307131025:3234
11Mashujaa307121115:2733
12Fountain Gate30961525:4433
13Tanzania Prisons30951623:4132
14Mbeya City30791424:4130
15Mtibwa Sugar30691525:4827
16Kinondoni MC30232516:539
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 (Relegation)