Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Coastal Union vs TRA United

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara Mkwakwani Stadium, Tanga
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Ani E.
Assist: Akandwanaho J.
37' Event
Kichuya S.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ligi Kuu Bara matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Coastal Union
30%
Draws
29%
TRA United
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Coastal Union

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Coastal Union have won more games recently than TRA United.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Coastal Union Clean Sheet 20%
TRA United Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coastal Union TRA United
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 10
Draws 6 10
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.21 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 24, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Coastal Union vs TRA United
1:1
Jun 24, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
TRA United vs Coastal Union
1:1
Feb 1, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Coastal Union vs TRA United
1:1
Jun 22, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Coastal Union vs TRA United
1:1
Dec 17, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
TRA United vs Coastal Union
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Coastal Union Compare

Top Goalscorer Kichuya S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

TRA United Compare

Top Goalscorer Ani E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coastal Union 31 / 100
TRA United 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coastal Union TRA United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Coastal Union Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Coastal Union scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

TRA United let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Coastal Union has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Coastal Union VS TRA United
0.63 Goals Scored 0.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Coastal Union

(Home)
12 Sept
Coastal Union
2 : 1
JKT Tanzania
06 Sept
Polisi Tanzania
1 : 2
Coastal Union
27 Aug
Simba
1 : 0
Coastal Union
24 Aug
Coastal Union
1 : 1
TRA United
20 Aug
Young Africans
4 : 1
Coastal Union
Page 1 of 6

TRA United

(Away)
13 Sept
Pamba
1 : 3
TRA United
04 Sept
TRA United
0 : 0
Mbeya City
29 Aug
TRA United
0 : 1
Dodoma Jiji
24 Aug
Coastal Union
1 : 1
TRA United
20 Aug
Azam
2 : 1
TRA United
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Young Africans 6 6 0 0 16:2 18
2 Simba 6 6 0 0 11:2 18
3 Azam 7 4 2 1 11:7 14
4 Singida Black Stars 6 3 1 2 13:9 10
5 Polisi Tanzania 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
6 Mbeya City 6 3 1 2 6:4 10
7 Dodoma Jiji 6 3 1 2 4:4 10
8 Mashujaa 6 3 0 3 6:6 9
9 Geita Gold 6 2 1 3 9:8 7
10 JKT Tanzania 6 2 1 3 7:10 7
11 Coastal Union 6 2 1 3 6:9 7
12 TRA United 6 1 3 2 6:6 6
13 Namungo 7 2 0 5 6:11 6
14 Fountain Gate 6 1 1 4 2:9 4
15 Kagera Sugar 6 0 2 4 5:14 2
16 Pamba 6 0 1 5 4:13 1
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara (Relegation)