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Coban Imperial vs Deportivo Achuapa

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional 2025/2026 Estadio Verapaz, Cobán
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Corado Ruano R. E.
14'
Sub
Casas T. In: Ayala V.
Out: Casas T.
24'
Sub
Ayala V. In: Paredes S.
Out: Ayala V.

AI Match Summary

Coban Imperial in this Liga Nacional 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Coban Imperial.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Coban Imperial
35%
Draws
37%
Deportivo Achuapa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Deportivo Achuapa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Deportivo Achuapa have won more games recently than Coban Imperial.
  • Model gives Coban Imperial a 28% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga Nacional 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Coban Imperial Clean Sheet 68%
Deportivo Achuapa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coban Imperial Deportivo Achuapa
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 6 7
Draws 11 8
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 0.96 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Liga Nacional
Coban Imperial vs Deportivo Achuapa
3:1
Mar 1, 2026 Liga Nacional
Deportivo Achuapa vs Coban Imperial
0:1
Oct 26, 2025 Liga Nacional
Deportivo Achuapa vs Coban Imperial
2:1
Aug 16, 2025 Liga Nacional
Coban Imperial vs Deportivo Achuapa
2:2
Apr 19, 2025 Liga Nacional
Coban Imperial vs Deportivo Achuapa
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Coban Imperial Compare

Top Goalscorer Amaral U.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Pereira J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Deportivo Achuapa Compare

Top Goalscorer Acosta D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coban Imperial 86 / 100
Deportivo Achuapa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coban Imperial Deportivo Achuapa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Coban Imperial Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Coban Imperial found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (28 games).

Deportivo Achuapa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Coban Imperial has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Coban Imperial VS Deportivo Achuapa
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Coban Imperial

(Home)
20 Sept
Deportivo San Pedro
1 : 1
Coban Imperial
13 Sept
Coban Imperial
2 : 2
Comunicaciones
11 Sept
Xelaju
0 : 0
Coban Imperial
06 Sept
Coban Imperial
0 : 1
Guastatoya
29 Aug
Suchitepequez
3 : 2
Coban Imperial
Page 1 of 6

Deportivo Achuapa

(Away)
26 Apr
Deportivo Achuapa
2 : 2
Antigua
19 Apr
Coban Imperial
3 : 1
Deportivo Achuapa
17 Apr
Xelaju
3 : 0
Deportivo Achuapa
12 Apr
Deportivo Achuapa
1 : 0
Malacateco
07 Apr
Guastatoya
3 : 1
Deportivo Achuapa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Xelaju 22 11 6 5 34:19 39
2 Municipal 22 11 5 6 32:21 38
3 Deportivo Mixco 22 10 6 6 30:26 36
4 Comunicaciones 22 11 2 9 28:26 35
5 Antigua 22 9 7 6 34:29 34
6 Coban Imperial 22 8 8 6 29:22 32
7 Guastatoya 22 8 7 7 29:21 31
8 Marquense 22 9 3 10 25:29 30
9 Mictlan 22 7 6 9 25:36 27
10 Malacateco 22 6 4 12 19:25 22
11 Aurora F.C. 22 4 8 10 14:30 20
12 Deportivo Achuapa 22 5 4 13 17:32 19
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)