Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Coban Imperial vs Deportivo Mixco

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional 2025/2026 Estadio Verapaz, Cobán
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Garcia E.
11' Event
Cabrera A.
21'
De Leon L.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Coban Imperial advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Coban Imperial
11%
Draws
9%
Deportivo Mixco
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Coban Imperial

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Deportivo Mixco carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Coban Imperial's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Deportivo Mixco arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Coban Imperial, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Coban Imperial Clean Sheet 68%
Deportivo Mixco Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coban Imperial Deportivo Mixco
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 11
Draws 10 7
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 0.88 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Liga Nacional
Deportivo Mixco vs Coban Imperial
2:0
Apr 29, 2026 Liga Nacional
Coban Imperial vs Deportivo Mixco
2:0
Mar 21, 2026 Liga Nacional
Coban Imperial vs Deportivo Mixco
1:1
Jan 31, 2026 Liga Nacional
Deportivo Mixco vs Coban Imperial
1:1
Sep 27, 2025 Liga Nacional
Deportivo Mixco vs Coban Imperial
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Coban Imperial Compare

Top Goalscorer Cabrera A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pereira J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Deportivo Mixco Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coban Imperial 86 / 100
Deportivo Mixco 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coban Imperial Deportivo Mixco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Deportivo Mixco conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Difficult form: Deportivo Mixco registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Coban Imperial's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Coban Imperial VS Deportivo Mixco
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Coban Imperial

(Home)
02 May
Deportivo Mixco
2 : 0
Coban Imperial
29 Apr
Coban Imperial
2 : 0
Deportivo Mixco
26 Apr
Xelaju
2 : 1
Coban Imperial
19 Apr
Coban Imperial
3 : 1
Deportivo Achuapa
17 Apr
Malacateco
2 : 0
Coban Imperial
Page 1 of 6

Deportivo Mixco

(Away)
10 May
Municipal
5 : 0
Deportivo Mixco
06 May
Deportivo Mixco
0 : 2
Municipal
02 May
Deportivo Mixco
2 : 0
Coban Imperial
29 Apr
Coban Imperial
2 : 0
Deportivo Mixco
26 Apr
Municipal
3 : 0
Deportivo Mixco
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Xelaju3
Marquense1
Comunicaciones4
Antigua3
Municipal3
Guastatoya0
Deportivo Mixco2
Coban Imperial2
Semi-finals
Xelaju4
Comunicaciones2
Municipal7
Deportivo Mixco0
Final
Xelaju2
Municipal6