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Coban Imperial vs Guastatoya - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional Estadio Verapaz, Cobán
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Almanza J.
40'
Valdez K.
46'
Sub
Valdez K. In: Aldana B.
Out: Valdez K.

AI Match Summary

Guastatoya in this Liga Nacional matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guastatoya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Coban Imperial
35%
Draws
38%
Guastatoya
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Guastatoya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Guastatoya have won more games recently than Coban Imperial.
  • Win probability leans Coban Imperial's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Coban Imperial Clean Sheet 14%
Guastatoya Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coban Imperial Guastatoya
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 13
Draws 10 5
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.2 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Liga Nacional
Coban Imperial vs Guastatoya
0:1
Apr 12, 2026 Liga Nacional
Coban Imperial vs Guastatoya
1:1
Feb 22, 2026 Liga Nacional
Guastatoya vs Coban Imperial
2:0
Oct 4, 2025 Liga Nacional
Coban Imperial vs Guastatoya
2:1
Jul 27, 2025 Liga Nacional
Guastatoya vs Coban Imperial
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Coban Imperial Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Guastatoya Compare

Top Goalscorer Aguilar Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coban Imperial 35 / 100
Guastatoya 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coban Imperial Guastatoya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Coban Imperial went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Coban Imperial's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Guastatoya let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Coban Imperial VS Guastatoya
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Coban Imperial

(Home)
03 Oct
Coban Imperial
2 : 0
Malacateco
27 Sept
Coban Imperial
3 : 2
Aurora F.C.
20 Sept
Deportivo San Pedro
1 : 1
Coban Imperial
13 Sept
Coban Imperial
2 : 2
Comunicaciones
11 Sept
Xelaju
0 : 0
Coban Imperial
Page 1 of 6

Guastatoya

(Away)
04 Oct
Guastatoya
2 : 1
Aurora F.C.
26 Sept
Guastatoya
2 : 1
Deportivo San Pedro
19 Sept
Comunicaciones
1 : 2
Guastatoya
13 Sept
Guastatoya
2 : 1
Xelaju
10 Sept
Suchitepequez
1 : 1
Guastatoya
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guastatoya 12 8 1 3 19:13 25
2 Municipal 11 7 3 1 17:6 24
3 Antigua 12 7 1 4 22:18 22
4 Marquense 12 6 1 5 13:15 19
5 Xelaju 12 5 3 4 24:14 18
6 Deportivo Mixco 11 6 0 5 19:17 18
7 Deportivo San Pedro 12 5 3 4 14:12 18
8 Comunicaciones 12 4 2 6 15:19 14
9 Coban Imperial 12 3 4 5 15:18 13
10 Aurora F.C. 12 4 0 8 17:21 12
11 Malacateco 12 3 3 6 12:19 12
12 Suchitepequez 12 1 3 8 11:26 6
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)