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Stadium Background

Coban Imperial vs Xinabajul

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional 2024/2025 Estadio Verapaz, Cobán
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Match Events

13' Event
Pereira J.
19'
Cabrera A.
33'
Cifuentes A.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional 2024/2025 game between Coban Imperial and Xinabajul finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Coban Imperial.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Coban Imperial
35%
Draws
32%
Xinabajul
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Xinabajul haven't matched Coban Imperial's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Coban Imperial's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Coban Imperial Clean Sheet 20%
Xinabajul Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coban Imperial Xinabajul
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 9 6
Draws 12 8
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.03 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2025 Liga Nacional
Coban Imperial vs Xinabajul
2:0
Jan 23, 2025 Liga Nacional
Xinabajul vs Coban Imperial
1:2
Dec 7, 2024 Liga Nacional
Coban Imperial vs Xinabajul
2:1
Dec 5, 2024 Liga Nacional
Xinabajul vs Coban Imperial
0:0
Oct 20, 2024 Liga Nacional
Coban Imperial vs Xinabajul
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Coban Imperial Compare

Top Goalscorer Pereira J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Thales
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Xinabajul Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coban Imperial 49 / 100
Xinabajul 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coban Imperial Xinabajul

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Coban Imperial Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Coban Imperial's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Xinabajul let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Coban Imperial went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Coban Imperial VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Coban Imperial

(Home)
20 Sept
Deportivo San Pedro
1 : 1
Coban Imperial
13 Sept
Coban Imperial
2 : 2
Comunicaciones
11 Sept
Xelaju
0 : 0
Coban Imperial
06 Sept
Coban Imperial
0 : 1
Guastatoya
29 Aug
Suchitepequez
3 : 2
Coban Imperial
Page 1 of 7

Xinabajul

(Away)
27 Apr
Comunicaciones
2 : 1
Xinabajul
24 Apr
Xinabajul
1 : 1
Guastatoya
20 Apr
Deportivo Mixco
3 : 1
Xinabajul
17 Apr
Xinabajul
0 : 0
Antigua
14 Apr
Xinabajul
1 : 1
Malacateco
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Municipal 20 10 5 5 26:18 35
2 Comunicaciones 20 9 6 5 27:24 33
3 Antigua 20 9 5 6 30:24 32
4 Coban Imperial 20 10 2 8 26:25 32
5 Malacateco 20 8 5 7 30:26 29
6 Guastatoya 20 8 5 7 21:22 29
7 Marquense 20 7 6 7 18:19 27
8 Deportivo Mixco 20 6 7 7 21:23 25
9 Xelaju 20 6 6 8 28:25 24
10 Deportivo Achuapa 20 5 4 11 18:23 19
11 Xinabajul 20 4 5 11 21:37 17
12 Zacapa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2024/2025 (Clausura - Play Offs)