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Coban Imperial vs Zacapa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional 2024/2025 Estadio Verapaz, Cobán
Sat, Apr 5, 2025
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Coban Imperial host Zacapa in the Liga Nacional 2024/2025. Coban Imperial are expected to control this from the start. Zacapa have shipped 1.86 goals a game lately, while Coban Imperial have conceded 1.17 and scored 1.17. Past meetings favor Coban Imperial slightly — 2-0-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 5, 2025, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.10 vs 1.19, favoring Coban Imperial. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Coban Imperial
35%
Draws
6%
Zacapa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Coban Imperial

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Coban Imperial carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Coban Imperial's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Coban Imperial Clean Sheet 20%
Zacapa Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coban Imperial Zacapa
Matches Played 30 14
Wins 9 0
Draws 11 5
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.17 0.36
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2025 Liga Nacional
Coban Imperial vs Zacapa
0:0
Jan 25, 2025 Liga Nacional
Zacapa vs Coban Imperial
0:0
Nov 10, 2024 Liga Nacional
Coban Imperial vs Zacapa
3:1
Aug 26, 2024 Liga Nacional
Zacapa vs Coban Imperial
0:0
Mar 23, 2024 Liga Nacional
Coban Imperial vs Zacapa
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coban Imperial 49 / 100
Zacapa 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coban Imperial Zacapa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Coban Imperial Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Coban Imperial went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Coban Imperial's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Zacapa has conceded goals in 79% of their last 14 outings.

Away concern: Zacapa has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Coban Imperial VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Coban Imperial

(Home)
03 Oct
Coban Imperial
2 : 0
Malacateco
27 Sept
Coban Imperial
3 : 2
Aurora F.C.
20 Sept
Deportivo San Pedro
1 : 1
Coban Imperial
13 Sept
Coban Imperial
2 : 2
Comunicaciones
11 Sept
Xelaju
0 : 0
Coban Imperial
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Zacapa

(Away)
24 Nov
Zacapa
1 : 2
Antigua
21 Nov
Zacapa
0 : 1
Deportivo Mixco
10 Nov
Coban Imperial
3 : 1
Zacapa
03 Nov
Zacapa
0 : 0
Comunicaciones
27 Oct
Xinabajul
2 : 0
Zacapa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Municipal 20 10 5 5 26:18 35
2 Comunicaciones 20 9 6 5 27:24 33
3 Antigua 20 9 5 6 30:24 32
4 Coban Imperial 20 10 2 8 26:25 32
5 Malacateco 20 8 5 7 30:26 29
6 Guastatoya 20 8 5 7 21:22 29
7 Marquense 20 7 6 7 18:19 27
8 Deportivo Mixco 20 6 7 7 21:23 25
9 Xelaju 20 6 6 8 28:25 24
10 Deportivo Achuapa 20 5 4 11 18:23 19
11 Xinabajul 20 4 5 11 21:37 17
12 Zacapa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2024/2025 (Clausura - Play Offs)