Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cobreloa vs Cobresal

Chile Chile

Copa Chile Estadio Zorros del Desierto, Calama
Our Tip

Match Events

43'
Gonzalez R.
46'
Sub
Carvallo U. B. A. In: Valencia E.
Out: Carvallo U. B. A.
46'
Sub
Valenzuela B. In: Fuentes J.
Out: Valenzuela B.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-2. The second leg ended 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Cobreloa
35%
Draws
30%
Cobresal
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Cobresal haven't matched Cobreloa's recent run of results.
  • Cobreloa are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Cobreloa have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Cobreloa, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Cobreloa Clean Sheet 20%
Cobresal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cobreloa Cobresal
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 3
Draws 11 5
Losses 5 21
Goals Scored 1.64 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.07 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Copa Chile
Cobresal vs Cobreloa
2:2
Jun 20, 2026 Copa Chile
Cobreloa vs Cobresal
2:0
Aug 4, 2024 Liga de Primera
Cobresal vs Cobreloa
3:2
Mar 1, 2024 Liga de Primera
Cobreloa vs Cobresal
2:1
Aug 23, 2023 Copa Chile
Cobreloa vs Cobresal
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cobreloa Compare

Top Goalscorer Gotti G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gallardo E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Cobresal Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cobreloa 42 / 100
Cobresal 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cobreloa Cobresal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Cobreloa scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Cobresal let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Cobreloa went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cobreloa VS Cobresal
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cobreloa

(Home)
22 Aug
Cobreloa
0 : 1
U. Espanola
16 Aug
San Felipe
0 : 1
Cobreloa
12 Aug
Magallanes
2 : 2
Cobreloa
08 Aug
Cobreloa
1 : 1
Deportes Iquique
01 Aug
Curico Unido
0 : 0
Cobreloa
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Cobresal

(Away)
23 Aug
La Serena
3 : 3
Cobresal
16 Aug
Cobresal
0 : 2
D. Concepcion
08 Aug
U. Catolica
2 : 0
Cobresal
01 Aug
Cobresal
4 : 0
Union La Calera
25 Jul
Huachipato
3 : 3
Cobresal
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coquimbo 6 3 3 0 8:3 12
2 Deportes Iquique 6 3 2 1 12:6 11
3 Limache 6 2 2 2 11:11 8
4 San Marcos de Arica 6 0 1 5 2:13 1
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 U. Catolica 6 5 0 1 14:9 15
2 Everton 6 2 2 2 10:9 8
3 San Luis 6 1 3 2 11:10 6
4 Copiapo 6 1 1 4 3:10 4
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Antofagasta 6 5 1 0 12:5 16
2 Cobreloa 6 2 2 2 7:6 8
3 La Serena 6 2 1 3 7:10 7
4 Cobresal 6 0 2 4 2:7 2
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 U. De Chile 6 4 1 1 13:7 13
2 Union La Calera 6 3 2 1 13:6 11
3 San Felipe 6 2 1 3 6:8 7
4 S. Wanderers 6 1 0 5 7:18 3
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colo Colo 5 3 1 1 12:8 10
2 O Higgins 5 2 2 1 10:7 8
3 Recoleta 5 1 2 2 5:8 5
4 U. Espanola 5 1 1 3 4:8 4
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nublense 6 4 1 1 9:5 13
2 Curico Unido 6 3 2 1 10:7 11
3 Rangers 6 2 0 4 4:7 6
4 U. De Concepcion 6 1 1 4 8:12 4
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportes Santa Cruz 6 4 1 1 11:6 13
2 A. Italiano 6 4 0 2 9:7 12
3 Palestino 6 3 1 2 12:9 10
4 Magallanes 6 0 0 6 5:15 0
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 D. Concepcion 6 4 1 1 10:6 13
2 D. Puerto Montt 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
3 Huachipato 6 2 0 4 7:9 6
4 Deportes Temuco 6 1 2 3 4:8 5
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)