Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cobreloa vs Recoleta - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Chile Chile

Liga de Ascenso Estadio Zorros del Desierto, Calama
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cobreloa host Recoleta in the Liga de Ascenso. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Cobreloa at 1.52 goals for, 1.14 against; Recoleta at 1.38 for, 1.48 against. Past meetings favor Cobreloa slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 21, 2026, ending 2:2. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 1.19, favoring Cobreloa. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Cobreloa
30%
Draws
43%
Recoleta
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Recoleta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Recoleta haven't matched Cobreloa's recent run of results.
  • 43% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Cobreloa have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Cobreloa Clean Sheet 20%
Recoleta Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cobreloa Recoleta
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 10
Draws 9 10
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.52 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Recoleta vs Cobreloa
2:2
Sep 14, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Cobreloa vs Recoleta
4:0
May 17, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Recoleta vs Cobreloa
0:1
Sep 8, 2023 Liga de Ascenso
Recoleta vs Cobreloa
1:2
May 11, 2023 Liga de Ascenso
Cobreloa vs Recoleta
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cobreloa 36 / 100
Recoleta 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cobreloa Recoleta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Recoleta Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cobreloa scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Recoleta conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Cobreloa has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cobreloa VS Recoleta
1 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cobreloa

(Home)
07 Oct
Coquimbo
2 : 1
Cobreloa
03 Oct
Deportes Temuco
0 : 1
Cobreloa
26 Sept
Cobreloa
1 : 0
S. Wanderers
22 Sept
Cobreloa
1 : 2
Coquimbo
10 Sept
Antofagasta
0 : 0
Cobreloa
Page 1 of 6

Recoleta

(Away)
03 Oct
Recoleta
2 : 1
S. Wanderers
14 Sept
Deportes Santa Cruz
0 : 0
Recoleta
09 Sept
Recoleta
2 : 1
San Marcos de Arica
06 Sept
Antofagasta
1 : 2
Recoleta
30 Aug
Curico Unido
0 : 0
Recoleta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cobreloa 26 13 9 4 44:27 48
2 San Luis 26 13 8 5 41:29 47
3 S. Wanderers 26 12 8 6 41:28 44
4 Magallanes 26 12 7 7 42:38 43
5 Antofagasta 26 11 8 7 44:26 41
6 Recoleta 26 11 8 7 38:34 41
7 San Marcos de Arica 26 10 9 7 33:24 39
8 Copiapo 26 10 7 9 40:39 37
9 U. Espanola 26 10 6 10 32:34 36
10 D. Puerto Montt 26 10 4 12 26:34 34
11 Deportes Temuco 26 8 8 10 40:36 32
12 Deportes Iquique 26 7 10 9 35:30 31
13 Curico Unido 26 6 9 11 22:39 24
14 Deportes Santa Cruz 26 4 10 12 27:40 22
15 San Felipe 26 5 7 14 16:44 22
16 Rangers 26 4 6 16 23:42 18
Promotion - Liga de Primera 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda Division 2027 (Main)