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Cobresal vs La Serena - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Chile Chile

Liga de Primera Estadio El Cobre de El Salvador, El Salvador
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Vargas J.
Assist: Rubio D.
13'
Mac Allister F.
38'
Chamorro F.

AI Match Summary

The Liga de Primera game between Cobresal and La Serena finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward La Serena.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Cobresal
20%
Draws
47%
La Serena
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: La Serena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and La Serena come out ahead of Cobresal on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Liga de Primera form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Cobresal Clean Sheet 14%
La Serena Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cobresal La Serena
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 7
Draws 5 9
Losses 19 13
Goals Scored 1.1 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.97 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Liga de Primera
La Serena vs Cobresal
3:3
Jul 1, 2026 Copa Chile
Cobresal vs La Serena
0:1
Jun 24, 2026 Copa Chile
La Serena vs Cobresal
0:0
Feb 27, 2026 Liga de Primera
Cobresal vs La Serena
0:1
Jan 24, 2026 Club Friendly
La Serena vs Cobresal
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cobresal Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

La Serena Compare

Top Goalscorer Vargas J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cobresal 35 / 100
La Serena 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cobresal La Serena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick La Serena Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

La Serena let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Cobresal remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Cobresal found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Cobresal VS La Serena
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cobresal

(Home)
12 Sept
Cobresal
3 : 2
Coquimbo
07 Sept
Limache
3 : 0
Cobresal
28 Aug
Cobresal
2 : 0
Palestino
23 Aug
La Serena
3 : 3
Cobresal
16 Aug
Cobresal
0 : 2
D. Concepcion
Page 1 of 6

La Serena

(Away)
13 Sept
La Serena
0 : 3
U. De Chile
06 Sept
La Serena
2 : 1
Nublense
31 Aug
Union La Calera
0 : 1
La Serena
23 Aug
La Serena
3 : 3
Cobresal
14 Aug
U. De Concepcion
0 : 2
La Serena
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colo Colo 23 17 3 3 48:22 54
2 U. Catolica 23 13 3 7 50:33 42
3 U. De Chile 23 12 6 5 35:19 42
4 Everton 23 10 6 7 37:25 36
5 Palestino 23 11 3 9 36:33 36
6 Limache 23 10 3 10 43:35 33
7 Nublense 23 8 8 7 28:31 32
8 D. Concepcion 23 9 4 10 25:26 31
9 Huachipato 23 9 4 10 32:39 31
10 La Serena 23 7 9 7 34:38 30
11 Coquimbo 23 8 5 10 31:32 29
12 A. Italiano 23 7 7 9 26:31 28
13 O Higgins 23 8 3 12 28:36 27
14 Cobresal 23 7 3 13 34:44 24
15 U. De Concepcion 23 6 4 13 17:39 22
16 Union La Calera 23 4 5 14 19:40 17
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga de Ascenso 2027 (Main)