Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cobresal vs U. Catolica

Chile Chile

Copa de la Liga Estadio El Cobre de El Salvador, El Salvador
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Montes C.
32' Event
Giani J.
Penalty Missed
34' Event
Giani J.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 5-1. The second leg ended 1-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Cobresal
20%
Draws
47%
U. Catolica
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: U. Catolica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • U. Catolica carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on U. Catolica taking it.
  • U. Catolica arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor U. Catolica, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and U. Catolica have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Cobresal Clean Sheet 14%
U. Catolica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cobresal U. Catolica
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 5 18
Draws 5 6
Losses 20 8
Goals Scored 1.13 1.84
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Liga de Primera
U. Catolica vs Cobresal
2:0
Jun 6, 2026 Copa de la Liga
U. Catolica vs Cobresal
5:1
Mar 30, 2026 Copa de la Liga
Cobresal vs U. Catolica
1:3
Feb 14, 2026 Liga de Primera
Cobresal vs U. Catolica
3:2
Aug 30, 2025 Liga de Primera
U. Catolica vs Cobresal
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cobresal Compare

Top Goalscorer Moreno C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

U. Catolica Compare

Top Goalscorer Montes C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Giani J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cobresal 19 / 100
U. Catolica 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cobresal U. Catolica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick U. Catolica Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Cobresal scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

U. Catolica let in goals in 75% of their last 32 matches.

Cobresal went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cobresal VS U. Catolica
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cobresal

(Home)
12 Sept
Cobresal
3 : 2
Coquimbo
07 Sept
Limache
3 : 0
Cobresal
28 Aug
Cobresal
2 : 0
Palestino
23 Aug
La Serena
3 : 3
Cobresal
16 Aug
Cobresal
0 : 2
D. Concepcion
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U. Catolica

(Away)
26 Sept
U. Catolica
0 : 1
Union La Calera
23 Sept
Union La Calera
1 : 1
U. Catolica
12 Sept
Palestino
2 : 3
U. Catolica
05 Sept
Everton
0 : 1
U. Catolica
01 Sept
U. Catolica
3 : 2
O Higgins
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coquimbo 6 4 2 0 9:5 14
2 Colo Colo 6 3 1 2 8:5 10
3 Huachipato 6 2 2 2 6:6 8
4 D. Concepcion 6 0 1 5 6:13 1
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nublense 6 4 2 0 9:3 14
2 U. Catolica 6 3 2 1 13:7 11
3 U. De Concepcion 6 1 1 4 7:11 4
4 Cobresal 6 1 1 4 6:14 4
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 O Higgins 6 4 2 0 11:6 14
2 Everton 6 2 1 3 8:9 7
3 Limache 6 1 3 2 7:8 6
4 Palestino 6 1 2 3 9:12 5
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union La Calera 6 4 1 1 7:3 13
2 A. Italiano 6 3 2 1 12:9 11
3 U. De Chile 6 2 2 2 12:7 8
4 La Serena 6 0 1 5 6:18 1
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)