Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Coburg vs ASV Neumarkt

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Nord 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

ASV Neumarkt in this Oberliga Bayern Nord 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored ASV Neumarkt.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Coburg
20%
Draws
64%
ASV Neumarkt
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: ASV Neumarkt

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Coburg haven't matched ASV Neumarkt's recent run of results.
  • Model gives ASV Neumarkt a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Oberliga Bayern Nord 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and ASV Neumarkt have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 39%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Coburg Clean Sheet 11%
ASV Neumarkt Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coburg ASV Neumarkt
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 9
Draws 3 5
Losses 20 16
Goals Scored 1.33 1.53
Goals Conceded 2.57 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Coburg vs ASV Neumarkt
2:4
Nov 2, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Nord
ASV Neumarkt vs Coburg
5:0
Mar 30, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Coburg vs ASV Neumarkt
1:7
Sep 9, 2023 Oberliga Bayern Nord
ASV Neumarkt vs Coburg
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coburg 10 / 100
ASV Neumarkt 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coburg ASV Neumarkt

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ASV Neumarkt Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 6.25 goals as a typical output.

Coburg scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

ASV Neumarkt's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

ASV Neumarkt's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Coburg VS ASV Neumarkt
1 Goals Scored 1
2.6 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 50%
80% Over 2.5 38%
40% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Coburg

(Home)
11 Jul
Einheit Rudolstadt
2 : 2
Coburg
27 Jun
Coburg
0 : 2
Munchberg
25 May
Coburg
0 : 3
Pfaffenhofen
21 May
Pfaffenhofen
2 : 1
Coburg
16 May
Coburg
2 : 4
ASV Neumarkt
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ASV Neumarkt

(Away)
26 Sept
Nordlingen
0 : 0
ASV Neumarkt
19 Sept
ASV Neumarkt
0 : 1
Wurzburger FV
12 Sept
Aschaffenburg
1 : 3
ASV Neumarkt
06 Sept
ASV Neumarkt
0 : 2
Regensburg II
28 Aug
Gebenbach
3 : 0
ASV Neumarkt
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eltersdorf 32 21 2 9 55:30 65
2 Cham 32 17 8 7 58:35 59
3 ASV Neumarkt 32 18 5 9 68:50 59
4 Gebenbach 32 16 5 11 53:47 53
5 Bamberg 32 13 12 7 54:39 51
6 Weiden 32 13 11 8 57:39 50
7 Ingolstadt II 32 14 6 12 64:54 48
8 Fortuna Regensburg 32 12 9 11 66:58 45
9 Regensburg II 32 13 5 14 59:53 44
10 Bayern Hof 32 11 10 11 56:51 43
11 Neudrossenfeld 32 12 5 15 47:54 41
12 TSV Kornburg 32 9 13 10 48:50 40
13 Wurzburger FV 32 10 7 15 46:62 37
14 ATSV Erlangen 32 10 7 15 43:61 37
15 Stadeln 32 11 2 19 42:65 35
16 Coburg 32 9 3 20 44:81 30
17 Grossschwarzenlohe 32 4 8 20 35:66 20
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2025/2026 (Relegation)