Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Coburg vs Ingolstadt II

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Nord 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Bayern Nord 2025/2026 game between Coburg and Ingolstadt II finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Coburg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Coburg
30%
Draws
47%
Ingolstadt II
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ingolstadt II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ingolstadt II come out ahead of Coburg on wins alone.
  • Ingolstadt II are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Oberliga Bayern Nord 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 45%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Coburg Clean Sheet 10%
Ingolstadt II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coburg Ingolstadt II
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 12
Draws 3 6
Losses 20 13
Goals Scored 1.33 1.77
Goals Conceded 2.57 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Coburg vs Ingolstadt II
4:0
Oct 19, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Ingolstadt II vs Coburg
7:1
Apr 27, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Coburg vs Ingolstadt II
1:1
Oct 3, 2023 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Ingolstadt II vs Coburg
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coburg 18 / 100
Ingolstadt II 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coburg Ingolstadt II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ingolstadt II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.25 goals.

Coburg scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Ingolstadt II conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.

Ingolstadt II's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Coburg VS Ingolstadt II
1 Goals Scored 1.75
2.6 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
80% Over 2.5 75%
40% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Coburg

(Home)
11 Jul
Einheit Rudolstadt
2 : 2
Coburg
27 Jun
Coburg
0 : 2
Munchberg
25 May
Coburg
0 : 3
Pfaffenhofen
21 May
Pfaffenhofen
2 : 1
Coburg
16 May
Coburg
2 : 4
ASV Neumarkt
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Ingolstadt II

(Away)
25 Sept
Ingolstadt II
0 : 2
DJK Ammerthal
19 Sept
DJK Don Bosco Bamberg
0 : 0
Ingolstadt II
13 Sept
Ingolstadt II
2 : 2
Cham
05 Sept
Bamberg
4 : 1
Ingolstadt II
29 Aug
Ingolstadt II
0 : 1
Neudrossenfeld
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eltersdorf 32 21 2 9 55:30 65
2 Cham 32 17 8 7 58:35 59
3 ASV Neumarkt 32 18 5 9 68:50 59
4 Gebenbach 32 16 5 11 53:47 53
5 Bamberg 32 13 12 7 54:39 51
6 Weiden 32 13 11 8 57:39 50
7 Ingolstadt II 32 14 6 12 64:54 48
8 Fortuna Regensburg 32 12 9 11 66:58 45
9 Regensburg II 32 13 5 14 59:53 44
10 Bayern Hof 32 11 10 11 56:51 43
11 Neudrossenfeld 32 12 5 15 47:54 41
12 TSV Kornburg 32 9 13 10 48:50 40
13 Wurzburger FV 32 10 7 15 46:62 37
14 ATSV Erlangen 32 10 7 15 43:61 37
15 Stadeln 32 11 2 19 42:65 35
16 Coburg 32 9 3 20 44:81 30
17 Grossschwarzenlohe 32 4 8 20 35:66 20
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2025/2026 (Relegation)