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Cockhill vs St Mochta's - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ireland Ireland

FAI Cup 2015
Our Tip

Match Events

49' Event
Gill G.
(Penalty)
71' Event
Henry M.
90'
Fee W.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-0, with Cockhill advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Cockhill
15%
Draws
73%
St Mochta's
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: St Mochta's

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • St Mochta's carry the better recent record into this one.
  • St Mochta's are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • St Mochta's arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Cockhill, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 47.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Cockhill Clean Sheet 10%
St Mochta's Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cockhill St Mochta's
Matches Played 25 18
Wins 5 6
Draws 1 0
Losses 19 12
Goals Scored 1.12 1.56
Goals Conceded 2.04 3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.68 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2015 FAI Cup
Cockhill vs St Mochta's
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cockhill Compare

Top Goalscorer Henry M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.29
Avg xA / game 0.84

St Mochta's Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cockhill 18 / 100
St Mochta's 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cockhill St Mochta's

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St Mochta's Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St Mochta's's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 18 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

St Mochta's lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Cockhill found the back of the net in 56% of recent matches (25 games).

Scoring Trends

Cockhill VS St Mochta's
1.5 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.86
75% Over 1.5 86%
75% Over 2.5 86%
38% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

Cockhill

(Home)
26 Sept
Home Farm
4 : 0
Cockhill
19 Sept
Lucan Utd
2 : 0
Cockhill
05 Sept
Cockhill
0 : 2
Home Farm
29 Aug
Mervue United
1 : 1
Cockhill
03 Aug
Limavady
1 : 0
Cockhill
Page 1 of 5

St Mochta's

(Away)
17 Jul
St Mochta's
1 : 3
Dundalk
15 May
Wayside Celtic
3 : 4
St Mochta's
18 Jul
Waterford
5 : 1
St Mochta's
17 May
St Mochta's
4 : 0
Douglas Hall
08 Oct
St. Patricks
2 : 1
St Mochta's
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Bray -
TBD -
TBD -
Limerick -
Firhouse 1
Glenville 0
TBD -
Bohemians -
Tolka -
TBD -
TBD -
Waterford -
Cobh Ramblers -
TBD -
Dunboyne 0
Killester Donnycarney 3
Derry City -
TBD -
TBD -
Edenderry Town -
Cabinteely -
TBD -
TBD -
Drogheda -
St. Patricks -
TBD -
TBD -
Shamrock Rovers -
Wexford -
TBD -
TBD -
Cork City -
Dundalk -
TBD -
TBD -
Shelbourne -
North End United 4
University College Cork 0
TBD -
Galway United -
Cobh Wanderers 2
Clonmel Celtic 0
St. Marys 0
Avondale United 1
Crumlin Utd 1
College Corinthians 0
TBD -
Sligo Rovers -
Sheriff YC -
TBD -
TBD -
UC Dublin -
Liffey Wanderers -
TBD -
TBD -
Athlone -
Cockhill 1
Casement Celtic 0
Arklow 2
St Mochta's 5
Finn Harps -
TBD -
TBD -
Longford -
1/16-finals
Bray 3
Limerick 1
Firhouse 1
Bohemians 4
Tolka 2
Waterford 1
Cobh Ramblers 0
Killester Donnycarney 3
Derry City 3
Edenderry Town 0
Cabinteely 1
Drogheda 3
St. Patricks 2
Shamrock Rovers 1
Wexford 0
Cork City 2
Dundalk 5
Shelbourne 0
North End United 0
Galway United 1
Cobh Wanderers 6
Avondale United 3
Crumlin Utd 0
Sligo Rovers 2
Sheriff YC 3
UC Dublin 1
Liffey Wanderers 2
Athlone 3
Cockhill 3
St Mochta's 0
Finn Harps 1
Longford 2
1/8-finals
Bray 1
Bohemians 0
Tolka 0
Killester Donnycarney 4
Derry City 3
Drogheda 0
St. Patricks 0
Cork City 4
Dundalk 4
Galway United 1
Cobh Wanderers 0
Sligo Rovers 4
Sheriff YC 3
Athlone 2
Cockhill 0
Longford 2
Quarter-finals
Bray 2
Killester Donnycarney 0
Derry City 1
Cork City 4
Dundalk 4
Sligo Rovers 0
Sheriff YC 1
Longford 3
Semi-finals
Bray 0
Cork City 1
Dundalk 2
Longford 0
Final
Cork City 0
Dundalk 1