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Codru Lozova vs Cahul

Moldova Moldova

Moldovan Cup 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

57' Event
Vdovichenko N.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Codru Lozova advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Codru Lozova
15%
Draws
0%
Cahul
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Codru Lozova

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Codru Lozova haven't matched Cahul's recent run of results.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Codru Lozova taking it.
  • Cahul arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Codru Lozova, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Codru Lozova have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Codru Lozova Clean Sheet 20%
Cahul Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Codru Lozova Cahul
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 3 5
Draws 3 2
Losses 24 24
Goals Scored 0.83 0.9
Goals Conceded 3.03 2.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 27, 2020 Moldovan Cup
Codru Lozova vs Cahul
1:0
Sep 2, 2018 Liga 1
Codru Lozova vs Cahul
2:0
May 5, 2018 Liga 1
Cahul vs Codru Lozova
0:1
Jul 14, 2017 Liga 1
Cahul vs Codru Lozova
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Codru Lozova Compare

Top Goalscorer Vdovichenko N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.86

Cahul Compare

Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Codru Lozova 85 / 100
Cahul 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Codru Lozova Cahul

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Codru Lozova Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cahul has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Away concern: Cahul has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Codru Lozova scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.25 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

- VS Cahul
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 2.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Codru Lozova

(Home)
26 May
Codru Lozova
0 : 2
Dinamo-Auto Tiraspol
22 May
Speranta Nisporeni
0 : 3
Codru Lozova
18 May
Codru Lozova
2 : 4
Milsami
15 May
Codru Lozova
0 : 4
Dacia Buiucani
12 May
Codru Lozova
1 : 5
Zimbru Chisinau
Page 1 of 6

Cahul

(Away)
13 May
Speranta Drochia
3 : 0
Cahul
07 May
Cahul
0 : 3
Real Succes
30 Apr
Sheriff Tiraspol 2
3 : 0
Cahul
23 Apr
Cahul
0 : 3
Sucleia
16 Apr
Victoria
3 : 0
Cahul
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Zimbru Chisinau -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Edinet 0
CSF Balti 1
TBD -
Floresti -
Petrocub Hincesti -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FCM Ungheni 5
Speranta Drochia 0
Singerei 2
Granicerul 0
Sheriff Tiraspol -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Visoca 1
Iskra Ribnita 3
Manoilesti 1
Sireti 4
Milsami -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Soroca 2
Falesti 3
Pepeni 0
Victoria 7
Dinamo-Auto Tiraspol -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Socol Copceac 2
Olimp Comrat 1
Cimislia 1
Sparta Selemet 5
Codru Lozova -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ialoveni 2
Real Succes 0
Vasieni 0
Cahul 5
Bogzesti 1
Speranis 2
Saksan 3
Sucleia 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sfintul Gheorghe -
Speranta Nisporeni -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maiak Chirsova 1
Tighina 2
TBD -
Dacia Buiucani -
1/16-finals
Zimbru Chisinau -
TBD -
CSF Balti 0
Floresti 2
Petrocub Hincesti -
TBD -
FCM Ungheni 3
Singerei 2
Sheriff Tiraspol -
TBD -
Iskra Ribnita 4
Sireti 0
Milsami -
TBD -
Falesti 1
Victoria 5
Dinamo-Auto Tiraspol -
TBD -
Socol Copceac 2
Sparta Selemet 0
Codru Lozova -
TBD -
Ialoveni 0
Cahul 5
Speranis 3
Sucleia 1
TBD -
Sfintul Gheorghe -
Speranta Nisporeni -
TBD -
Tighina 0
Dacia Buiucani 4
1/8-finals
Zimbru Chisinau 0
Floresti 1
Petrocub Hincesti 4
FCM Ungheni 1
Sheriff Tiraspol 2
Iskra Ribnita 1
Milsami 7
Victoria 1
Dinamo-Auto Tiraspol 13
Socol Copceac 0
Codru Lozova 1
Cahul 0
Speranis 0
Sfintul Gheorghe 4
Speranta Nisporeni 2
Dacia Buiucani 1
Quarter-finals
Floresti 1
Petrocub Hincesti 2
Sheriff Tiraspol 4
Milsami 1
Dinamo-Auto Tiraspol 2
Codru Lozova 1
Sfintul Gheorghe 5
Speranta Nisporeni 1
Semi-finals
Petrocub Hincesti 1
Sheriff Tiraspol 3
Dinamo-Auto Tiraspol 1
Sfintul Gheorghe 2
Final
Sheriff Tiraspol 0
Sfintul Gheorghe 1