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Stadium Background

Cofutpa vs AD Sarchi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Liga de Ascenso
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Mondragon J.
58' Event
Castro S.
90' Event
Perez K.

AI Match Summary

AD Sarchi in this Liga de Ascenso matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored AD Sarchi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Cofutpa
15%
Draws
51%
AD Sarchi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AD Sarchi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Cofutpa haven't matched AD Sarchi's recent run of results.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Cofutpa taking it.
  • Regular Liga de Ascenso form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Cofutpa Clean Sheet 14%
AD Sarchi Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cofutpa AD Sarchi
Matches Played 28 26
Wins 6 9
Draws 5 9
Losses 17 8
Goals Scored 1.07 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Cofutpa vs AD Sarchi
1:2
Aug 2, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
AD Sarchi vs Cofutpa
2:1
Mar 1, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Cofutpa vs AD Sarchi
0:1
Jan 28, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
AD Sarchi vs Cofutpa
1:1
Oct 4, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
AD Sarchi vs Cofutpa
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cofutpa Compare

Top Goalscorer Castro S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

AD Sarchi Compare

Top Goalscorer Mondragon J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Perez K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cofutpa 35 / 100
AD Sarchi 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cofutpa AD Sarchi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AD Sarchi has conceded goals in 88% of their last 26 outings.

Cofutpa scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Away concern: AD Sarchi has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cofutpa VS AD Sarchi
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cofutpa

(Home)
04 Oct
ADR Jicaral
3 : 1
Cofutpa
27 Sept
Cofutpa
3 : 1
Santa Cruz
19 Sept
Cofutpa
1 : 2
AD Sarchi
12 Sept
AD Rosario
2 : 1
Cofutpa
08 Sept
Cofutpa
0 : 0
Grecia
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AD Sarchi

(Away)
27 Sept
AD Sarchi
0 : 1
ADR Jicaral
19 Sept
Cofutpa
1 : 2
AD Sarchi
13 Sept
Santa Cruz
4 : 0
AD Sarchi
06 Sept
AD Sarchi
2 : 1
AD Rosario
30 Aug
Grecia
1 : 0
AD Sarchi
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ADR Jicaral 9 6 3 0 15:5 21
2 Quepos FC 9 5 1 3 13:7 16
3 Grecia 8 4 2 2 9:6 14
4 AD Rosario 8 4 1 3 11:10 13
5 AD Sarchi 8 3 2 3 8:11 11
6 Santa Cruz 9 2 0 7 11:19 6
7 Cofutpa 9 1 1 7 8:17 4
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santa Ana 10 7 0 3 14:10 21
2 Pitbulls 10 5 4 1 18:13 19
3 Carmelita 10 4 3 3 19:11 15
4 Aserri 10 4 2 4 10:11 14
5 Cariari Pococi 10 3 4 3 11:11 13
6 FC Moravia 10 3 1 6 12:13 10
7 Guadalupe 10 2 3 5 13:19 9
8 CS Uruguay 10 2 3 5 9:18 9
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Apertura - Play Offs)