Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cofutpa vs AD Sarchi

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

89' Event
Mondragon J.

AI Match Summary

AD Sarchi in this Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored AD Sarchi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Cofutpa
15%
Draws
51%
AD Sarchi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AD Sarchi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to AD Sarchi lately — more wins on the board than Cofutpa.
  • Model gives Cofutpa a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Cofutpa Clean Sheet 14%
AD Sarchi Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cofutpa AD Sarchi
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 7 10
Draws 6 9
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 1.1 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Cofutpa vs AD Sarchi
1:2
Aug 2, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
AD Sarchi vs Cofutpa
2:1
Mar 1, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Cofutpa vs AD Sarchi
0:1
Jan 28, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
AD Sarchi vs Cofutpa
1:1
Oct 4, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
AD Sarchi vs Cofutpa
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cofutpa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

AD Sarchi Compare

Top Goalscorer Mondragon J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cofutpa 35 / 100
AD Sarchi 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cofutpa AD Sarchi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AD Sarchi let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

Cofutpa found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

AD Sarchi lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cofutpa VS AD Sarchi
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cofutpa

(Home)
04 Oct
ADR Jicaral
3 : 1
Cofutpa
27 Sept
Cofutpa
3 : 1
Santa Cruz
19 Sept
Cofutpa
1 : 2
AD Sarchi
12 Sept
AD Rosario
2 : 1
Cofutpa
08 Sept
Cofutpa
0 : 0
Grecia
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AD Sarchi

(Away)
27 Sept
AD Sarchi
0 : 1
ADR Jicaral
19 Sept
Cofutpa
1 : 2
AD Sarchi
13 Sept
Santa Cruz
4 : 0
AD Sarchi
06 Sept
AD Sarchi
2 : 1
AD Rosario
30 Aug
Grecia
1 : 0
AD Sarchi
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ADR Jicaral 14 9 3 2 25:12 30
2 Inter San Carlos 14 8 4 2 25:14 28
3 Quepos FC 14 9 1 4 30:21 28
4 Santa Cruz 14 4 5 5 19:17 17
5 Grecia 14 4 5 5 16:18 17
6 AD Sarchi 14 4 5 5 19:23 17
7 Cofutpa 14 2 4 8 14:27 10
8 Dep. Upala 14 0 5 9 15:31 5
9 Municipal Turrialba 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Escorpiones 14 10 2 2 33:10 32
2 CS Uruguay 14 7 2 5 25:20 23
3 Pitbulls 14 6 4 4 20:16 22
4 FC Moravia 14 5 4 5 19:19 19
5 Cariari Pococi 14 3 6 5 19:23 15
6 Aserri 14 2 8 4 15:28 14
7 Santa Ana 13 3 3 7 19:28 12
8 Carmelita 13 2 5 6 10:16 11
9 Limon Black Star 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)