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Coimbra Esporte Clube vs Araxa Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-0. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Coimbra Esporte Clube
30%
Draws
31%
Araxa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Coimbra Esporte Clube

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Coimbra Esporte Clube come out ahead of Araxa on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Coimbra Esporte Clube have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Coimbra Esporte Clube Clean Sheet 20%
Araxa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coimbra Esporte Clube Araxa
Matches Played 32 19
Wins 15 7
Draws 11 6
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 1.75 1.16
Goals Conceded 0.97 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 15, 2022 Mineiro 3
Araxa vs Coimbra Esporte Clube
1:2
Oct 7, 2022 Mineiro 3
Coimbra Esporte Clube vs Araxa
0:0
Aug 20, 2022 Mineiro 3
Araxa vs Coimbra Esporte Clube
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coimbra Esporte Clube 36 / 100
Araxa 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coimbra Esporte Clube Araxa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Araxa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Coimbra Esporte Clube scored in 72% of their last 32 games.

Araxa has conceded goals in 63% of their last 19 outings.

Recent resilience: Coimbra Esporte Clube stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Araxa's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Coimbra Esporte Clube VS Araxa
2.5 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Coimbra Esporte Clube

(Home)
11 Jul
Ipatinga
3 : 2
Coimbra Esporte Clube
05 Jul
Coimbra Esporte Clube
0 : 0
Valeriodoce
01 Jul
Coimbra Esporte Clube
2 : 1
Villa Nova AC
27 Jun
Democrata SL
1 : 0
Coimbra Esporte Clube
24 Jun
Coimbra Esporte Clube
0 : 0
Aymores
Page 1 of 7

Araxa

(Away)
03 Oct
Siderurgica
0 : 3
Araxa
26 Sept
Araxa
1 : 2
Paracatu
18 Sept
Sao Joao del Rei
2 : 0
Araxa
07 Nov
Mamore
2 : 1
Araxa
28 Oct
Araxa
1 : 1
Mamore
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Tres Coracoes 0
America TO 5
TBD -
Valeriodoce -
Santarritense 2
Novo Esporte 5
TBD -
North Esporte Clube -
Nacional Uberaba 0
Villa Real 2
TBD -
Itabirito -
Mamore 1
Coimbra Esporte Clube 1
TBD -
Araxa -
Quarter-finals
America TO 1
Valeriodoce 1
Novo Esporte 2
North Esporte Clube 3
Villa Real 1
Itabirito 1
Coimbra Esporte Clube 2
Araxa 1
Semi-finals
Valeriodoce 0
North Esporte Clube 1
Itabirito 3
Coimbra Esporte Clube 5
Final
North Esporte Clube 1
Coimbra Esporte Clube 1