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Coimbra Esporte Clube vs Paracatu

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Buiu
30' Event
Leo Guerra
55' Event
Yuri Santana

AI Match Summary

Coimbra Esporte Clube in this Mineiro 3 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Coimbra Esporte Clube.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Coimbra Esporte Clube
30%
Draws
47%
Paracatu
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Paracatu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Coimbra Esporte Clube have won more games recently than Paracatu.
  • Model gives Paracatu a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Coimbra Esporte Clube Clean Sheet 20%
Paracatu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coimbra Esporte Clube Paracatu
Matches Played 30 26
Wins 14 11
Draws 10 9
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 1.8 1.77
Goals Conceded 1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.16
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 8, 2025 Mineiro 3
Coimbra Esporte Clube vs Paracatu
2:1
Nov 3, 2024 Mineiro 3
Coimbra Esporte Clube vs Paracatu
0:1
Oct 26, 2024 Mineiro 3
Paracatu vs Coimbra Esporte Clube
1:1
Aug 14, 2022 Mineiro 3
Paracatu vs Coimbra Esporte Clube
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Coimbra Esporte Clube Compare

Top Goalscorer Leo Guerra
1 Goals
Assists Leader Yuri Santana
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Paracatu Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodrigo Fuzil
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.05
Avg xA / game 0.64

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coimbra Esporte Clube 12 / 100
Paracatu 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coimbra Esporte Clube Paracatu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paracatu Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Coimbra Esporte Clube scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Paracatu has conceded goals in 69% of their last 26 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Coimbra Esporte Clube remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Coimbra Esporte Clube VS Paracatu
2 Goals Scored 1.57
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.71
88% Over 1.5 71%
50% Over 2.5 57%
38% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Coimbra Esporte Clube

(Home)
11 Jul
Ipatinga
3 : 2
Coimbra Esporte Clube
05 Jul
Coimbra Esporte Clube
0 : 0
Valeriodoce
01 Jul
Coimbra Esporte Clube
2 : 1
Villa Nova AC
27 Jun
Democrata SL
1 : 0
Coimbra Esporte Clube
24 Jun
Coimbra Esporte Clube
0 : 0
Aymores
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Paracatu

(Away)
26 Sept
Araxa
1 : 2
Paracatu
19 Sept
Paracatu
5 : 0
Siderurgica
22 Nov
Paracatu
0 : 0
Novo Esporte
15 Nov
Tupi-MG
1 : 2
Paracatu
08 Nov
Coimbra Esporte Clube
2 : 1
Paracatu
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coimbra Esporte Clube 5 4 1 0 10:3 13
2 Boa 5 3 2 0 11:4 11
3 Paracatu 5 2 2 1 6:4 8
4 Novo Esporte 5 2 1 2 5:5 7
5 Tupi-MG 5 1 0 4 4:11 3
6 Essube 5 0 0 5 1:10 0
Promotion - Mineiro 2 (Main)