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Coimbra Esporte Clube vs Serranense

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Coimbra Esporte Clube play Serranense in the Mineiro 3 2022. Coimbra Esporte Clube are favorites here. Recently, Coimbra Esporte Clube averaged 1.86 goals scored and 0.84 conceded. Serranense averaged 0.83 goals scored and 2.17 conceded. In past meetings, Coimbra Esporte Clube won 4, Serranense won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Oct 5, 2025 ended 6:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.88 for Coimbra Esporte Clube and 0.69 for Serranense. This points to a Coimbra Esporte Clube double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

66%
Coimbra Esporte Clube
24%
Draws
10%
Serranense
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Coimbra Esporte Clube

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Coimbra Esporte Clube picked up more points recently compared to Serranense.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.88 vs 0.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 72%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%
Coimbra Esporte Clube Clean Sheet 28%
Serranense Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 65%
Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coimbra Esporte Clube Serranense
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 19 3
Draws 12 6
Losses 6 21
Goals Scored 1.86 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.84 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2025 Mineiro 3
Coimbra Esporte Clube vs Serranense
6:1
Oct 7, 2023 Mineiro 3
Serranense vs Coimbra Esporte Clube
1:6
Sep 24, 2023 Mineiro 3
Coimbra Esporte Clube vs Serranense
4:0
Aug 26, 2022 Mineiro 3
Coimbra Esporte Clube vs Serranense
2:1
Feb 24, 2019 Mineiro 2
Coimbra Esporte Clube vs Serranense
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coimbra Esporte Clube 65 / 100
Serranense 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coimbra Esporte Clube Serranense

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Coimbra Esporte Clube Win (1)
Secondary Pick Coimbra Esporte Clube & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +13.5%
1.72
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12%
2.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Coimbra Esporte Clube attacking → ← attacking Serranense

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Coimbra Esporte Clube scored in 70% of their last 37 games.

Serranense let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Coimbra Esporte Clube went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Serranense lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

69 Points in last 5 15
2.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1North Esporte Clube751112:516
2Valeriodoce751111:516
3America TO742111:614
4Novo Esporte741213:813
5Boston City723211:89
6Contagem72238:78
7Juventus Minasnovense71068:143
8Ideal FC70070:210
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Itabirito760112:118
2Villa Real74127:413
3Santarritense73318:412
4Tres Coracoes731312:1310
5Passos72325:59
6Figueirense Esporte Clube71426:107
7Betis71335:86
8Pocos de Caldas70162:121
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Araxa75207:217
2Coimbra Esporte Clube741213:813
3Nacional Uberaba740311:812
4Mamore733112:812
5Inter de Minas72237:88
6Serranense71338:106
7Paracatu71337:126
8Sao Gotardo70254:132