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Coimbra Esporte Clube vs Serranense Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Mineiro 3 2023 game between Coimbra Esporte Clube and Serranense finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Coimbra Esporte Clube.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Coimbra Esporte Clube
35%
Draws
19%
Serranense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Coimbra Esporte Clube

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Coimbra Esporte Clube carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Coimbra Esporte Clube taking it.
  • Regular Mineiro 3 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Coimbra Esporte Clube have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Coimbra Esporte Clube Clean Sheet 20%
Serranense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coimbra Esporte Clube Serranense
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 17 3
Draws 11 6
Losses 7 21
Goals Scored 1.89 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.94 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2025 Mineiro 3
Coimbra Esporte Clube vs Serranense
6:1
Oct 7, 2023 Mineiro 3
Serranense vs Coimbra Esporte Clube
1:6
Sep 24, 2023 Mineiro 3
Coimbra Esporte Clube vs Serranense
4:0
Aug 26, 2022 Mineiro 3
Coimbra Esporte Clube vs Serranense
2:1
Feb 24, 2019 Mineiro 2
Coimbra Esporte Clube vs Serranense
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coimbra Esporte Clube 85 / 100
Serranense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coimbra Esporte Clube Serranense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Coimbra Esporte Clube Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Serranense has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Coimbra Esporte Clube's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

Coimbra Esporte Clube has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Coimbra Esporte Clube VS Serranense
2.75 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Coimbra Esporte Clube

(Home)
11 Jul
Ipatinga
3 : 2
Coimbra Esporte Clube
05 Jul
Coimbra Esporte Clube
0 : 0
Valeriodoce
01 Jul
Coimbra Esporte Clube
2 : 1
Villa Nova AC
27 Jun
Democrata SL
1 : 0
Coimbra Esporte Clube
24 Jun
Coimbra Esporte Clube
0 : 0
Aymores
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Serranense

(Away)
11 Oct
Serranense
0 : 1
Boston City
05 Oct
Coimbra Esporte Clube
6 : 1
Serranense
27 Sept
Serranense
2 : 2
Tupi-MG
20 Sept
Novo Esporte
3 : 0
Serranense
06 Sept
Serranense
0 : 0
Uniao Luziense
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America TO 6 5 1 0 8:2 16
2 Valeriodoce 6 4 0 2 6:4 12
3 Juventus Minasnovense 6 2 1 3 7:7 7
4 Boston City 6 0 0 6 4:12 0
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guarani-MG 6 5 0 1 10:2 15
2 Pocos de Caldas 6 3 1 2 6:6 10
3 Villa Real 5 1 1 3 1:4 4
4 Tres Coracoes 5 1 0 4 2:7 3
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Contagem 6 4 1 1 5:2 13
2 Coimbra Esporte Clube 6 3 2 1 13:3 11
3 Inter de Minas 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
4 Serranense 6 0 0 6 4:19 0
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mamore 8 6 2 0 16:4 20
2 Araxa 8 4 2 2 11:6 14
3 Paracatu 7 3 1 3 9:8 10
4 Nacional Uberaba 7 1 3 3 4:9 6
5 Pirapora 8 1 0 7 3:16 3
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2023 (Play Offs)