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Coimbra Esporte Clube vs Serranense

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Mineiro 3 2023 game between Coimbra Esporte Clube and Serranense finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Coimbra Esporte Clube.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Coimbra Esporte Clube
6%
Draws
4%
Serranense
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Coimbra Esporte Clube

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Coimbra Esporte Clube carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Coimbra Esporte Clube taking it.
  • Regular Mineiro 3 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Coimbra Esporte Clube have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Coimbra Esporte Clube Clean Sheet 20%
Serranense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coimbra Esporte Clube Serranense
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 17 3
Draws 10 6
Losses 6 21
Goals Scored 2.75 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.63 3
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2025 Mineiro 3
Coimbra Esporte Clube vs Serranense
6:1
Oct 7, 2023 Mineiro 3
Serranense vs Coimbra Esporte Clube
1:6
Sep 24, 2023 Mineiro 3
Coimbra Esporte Clube vs Serranense
4:0
Aug 26, 2022 Mineiro 3
Coimbra Esporte Clube vs Serranense
2:1
Feb 24, 2019 Mineiro 2
Coimbra Esporte Clube vs Serranense
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coimbra Esporte Clube 85 / 100
Serranense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coimbra Esporte Clube Serranense

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Serranense has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Coimbra Esporte Clube's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Coimbra Esporte Clube has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Coimbra Esporte Clube VS Serranense
2.75 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1America TO65108:216
2Valeriodoce64026:412
3Juventus Minasnovense62137:77
4Boston City60064:120
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Guarani-MG650110:215
2Pocos de Caldas63126:610
3Villa Real51131:44
4Tres Coracoes51042:73
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Contagem64115:213
2Coimbra Esporte Clube632113:311
3Inter de Minas63128:610
4Serranense60064:190
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mamore862016:420
2Araxa842211:614
3Paracatu73139:810
4Nacional Uberaba71334:96
5Pirapora81073:163