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Colchagua CD vs Lota Schwager

Chile Chile

Segunda Division
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Colchagua CD play Lota Schwager in the Segunda Division. It looks like a close match. Recently, Colchagua CD averaged 1.24 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. Lota Schwager averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. In past meetings, Colchagua CD won 1, Lota Schwager won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 5, 2026 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Colchagua CD and 0.63 for Lota Schwager. This points to a Colchagua CD double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Colchagua CD
28%
Draws
34%
Lota Schwager
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Colchagua CD

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Colchagua CD picked up more points recently compared to Lota Schwager.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 0.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 43%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Colchagua CD Clean Sheet 29%
Lota Schwager Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colchagua CD Lota Schwager
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 8
Draws 8 8
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.24 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Segunda Division
Colchagua CD vs Lota Schwager
0:2
May 2, 2026 Segunda Division
Lota Schwager vs Colchagua CD
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Colchagua CD Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Lota Schwager Compare

Top Goalscorer Hermosilla B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Quiroga L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colchagua CD 40 / 100
Lota Schwager 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colchagua CD Lota Schwager

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Colchagua CD or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +16.1%
2.70
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Colchagua CD attacking → ← attacking Lota Schwager

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Colchagua CD scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Lota Schwager let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Colchagua CD went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Lota Schwager lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 32
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.63
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Brujas Salamanca1257011:522
2Concon National1263316:1021
3Santiago City1255218:1920
4Trasandino1253419:1718
5Real San Joaquin1134415:1213
6Atletico Colina1123610:139
7Provincial Ovalle1213811:246
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Osorno1165013:323
2Colchagua CD1164115:722
3Linares Unido1151512:1216
4General Velasquez114169:1513
5Lota Schwager113359:1112
6Deportes Rengo1132610:1511
7S. Morning122469:1410