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Colchagua CD vs Lota Schwager

Chile Chile

Segunda Division
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Reyes J.
46'
Sub
Segovia R. In: Martin M.
Out: Segovia R.
59'
Salas C.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda Division game between Colchagua CD and Lota Schwager finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lota Schwager.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Colchagua CD
30%
Draws
39%
Lota Schwager
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lota Schwager

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Lota Schwager carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Colchagua CD a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Segunda Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 30%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Colchagua CD Clean Sheet 19%
Lota Schwager Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colchagua CD Lota Schwager
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 9
Draws 8 8
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.07 1
Goals Conceded 1.41 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Segunda Division
Colchagua CD vs Lota Schwager
0:2
May 2, 2026 Segunda Division
Lota Schwager vs Colchagua CD
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Colchagua CD Compare

Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28

Lota Schwager Compare

Top Goalscorer Hermosilla B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Quiroga L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colchagua CD 36 / 100
Lota Schwager 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colchagua CD Lota Schwager

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Colchagua CD found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Lota Schwager has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Colchagua CD remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Colchagua CD VS Lota Schwager
0.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
25% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Colchagua CD

(Home)
04 Oct
Colchagua CD
2 : 0
Osorno
13 Sept
Concon National
1 : 0
Colchagua CD
05 Sept
Linares Unido
1 : 0
Colchagua CD
01 Sept
Colchagua CD
0 : 1
Brujas Salamanca
22 Aug
Trasandino
0 : 0
Colchagua CD
Page 1 of 6

Lota Schwager

(Away)
03 Oct
Real San Joaquin
0 : 2
Lota Schwager
26 Sept
Lota Schwager
1 : 2
Provincial Ovalle
29 Aug
Atletico Colina
0 : 0
Lota Schwager
22 Aug
Lota Schwager
1 : 1
S. Morning
16 Aug
Deportes Rengo
1 : 0
Lota Schwager
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brujas Salamanca 12 5 7 0 11:5 22
2 Concon National 12 6 3 3 16:10 21
3 Santiago City 12 5 5 2 18:19 20
4 Trasandino 12 5 3 4 19:17 18
5 Real San Joaquin 12 3 4 5 16:17 13
6 Atletico Colina 12 3 3 6 15:14 12
7 Provincial Ovalle 12 1 3 8 11:24 6
Promotion - Segunda Division (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Segunda Division (Qualification - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda Division (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Osorno 12 6 6 0 15:5 24
2 Colchagua CD 12 6 4 2 15:11 22
3 Linares Unido 12 6 1 5 16:12 19
4 General Velasquez 12 5 1 6 11:15 16
5 Lota Schwager 12 3 4 5 11:13 13
6 Deportes Rengo 12 3 2 7 10:17 11
7 S. Morning 12 2 4 6 9:14 10
Promotion - Segunda Division (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Segunda Division (Qualification - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda Division (Relegation Group)