Sport Picks

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Colchagua CD vs S. Morning

Chile Chile

Segunda Division
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Diaz R.
15' Event
Rubio E.
46'
Sub
Barrientos J. In: Escobar G.
Out: Barrientos J.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda Division game between Colchagua CD and S. Morning finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Colchagua CD
30%
Draws
34%
S. Morning
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Colchagua CD

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • S. Morning carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Colchagua CD taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Colchagua CD Clean Sheet 20%
S. Morning Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colchagua CD S. Morning
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 9 10
Draws 8 8
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.63 1
Goals Conceded 0.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Segunda Division
Colchagua CD vs S. Morning
1:1
Mar 22, 2026 Segunda Division
S. Morning vs Colchagua CD
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Colchagua CD Compare

Top Goalscorer Diaz R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

S. Morning Compare

Top Goalscorer Rubio E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colchagua CD 36 / 100
S. Morning 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colchagua CD S. Morning

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Colchagua CD found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

S. Morning let in goals in 63% of their last 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Colchagua CD stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Colchagua CD VS S. Morning
1.63 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Brujas Salamanca1257011:522
2Concon National1263316:1021
3Santiago City1255218:1920
4Trasandino1253419:1718
5Real San Joaquin1234516:1713
6Atletico Colina1233615:1412
7Provincial Ovalle1213811:246
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Osorno1266015:524
2Colchagua CD1264215:1122
3Linares Unido1261516:1219
4General Velasquez1251611:1516
5Lota Schwager1234511:1313
6Deportes Rengo1232710:1711
7S. Morning122469:1410