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Colchester U21 vs Swansea U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Premier League Cup 2025/2026
Colchester U21 Logo

Colchester U21

1 - 0
FT
Swansea U21 Logo

Swansea U21

Our Tip

Match Events

66' Event
Edwards F.
Assist: Faux A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Colchester U21 in this Premier League Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Colchester U21
15%
Draws
65%
Swansea U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Swansea U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Swansea U21 have won more games recently than Colchester U21.
  • Swansea U21 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Swansea U21 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Colchester U21, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Colchester U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Swansea U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colchester U21 Swansea U21
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 14
Draws 4 8
Losses 18 10
Goals Scored 1.7 2
Goals Conceded 2.9 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 6, 2026 Professional Development League
Colchester U21 vs Swansea U21
1:2
Apr 3, 2026 Professional Development League
Swansea U21 vs Colchester U21
5:0
Mar 9, 2026 Professional Development League
Colchester U21 vs Swansea U21
3:1
Feb 3, 2026 Premier League Cup
Colchester U21 vs Swansea U21
1:0
Apr 4, 2025 Professional Development League
Colchester U21 vs Swansea U21
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Colchester U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Edwards F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Swansea U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colchester U21 10 / 100
Swansea U21 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colchester U21 Swansea U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Swansea U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Colchester U21's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Swansea U21 conceded in 78% of 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Colchester U21 remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Colchester U21 VS Swansea U21
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
3.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Colchester U21

(Home)
06 Oct
Colchester U21
1 : 2
Swansea U21
29 Sept
Coventry U21
1 : 0
Colchester U21
25 Sept
Colchester U21
2 : 1
Sheffield Wed U21
15 Sept
Wigan U21
6 : 4
Colchester U21
01 Sept
Colchester U21
3 : 4
Barnsley U21
Page 1 of 6

Swansea U21

(Away)
06 Oct
Colchester U21
1 : 2
Swansea U21
28 Sept
Swansea U21
4 : 2
QPR U21
18 Sept
Fleetwood Town U21
2 : 1
Swansea U21
14 Sept
Swansea U21
2 : 0
Huddersfield U21
07 Sept
Swansea U21
2 : 2
Huddersfield U21
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Nottingham U21 1
Sunderland U21 6
Watford U21 3
Charlton U21 2
Ipswich U21 2
Blackburn U21 3
Reading U21 5
Stoke City U21 0
Burnley U21 3
Brentford U21 2
Colchester U21 1
Swansea U21 0
Sheffield Utd U21 1
Bournemouth U21 2
West Brom U21 1
QPR U21 0
Quarter-finals
Sunderland U21 3
Watford U21 1
Blackburn U21 3
Reading U21 1
Burnley U21 5
Colchester U21 2
Bournemouth U21 4
West Brom U21 5
Semi-finals
Sunderland U21 4
Blackburn U21 2
Burnley U21 2
West Brom U21 1
Final
Sunderland U21 1
Burnley U21 2