Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Colchester U23 vs Bristol City U23

England England

Professional Development League 2021/2022 Colchester Community Stadium (JobServe), Colchester
Our Tip

Match Events

57' Event
Conway T.
59' Event
Bell S.
64' Event
Conway T.

AI Match Summary

Bristol City U23 in this Professional Development League 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bristol City U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Colchester U23
30%
Draws
47%
Bristol City U23
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bristol City U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Bristol City U23 have won more games recently than Colchester U23.
  • Win probability leans Bristol City U23's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Professional Development League 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Bristol City U23 have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Colchester U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Bristol City U23 Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colchester U23 Bristol City U23
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 18
Draws 7 6
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 1.43 2.43
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2022 Professional Development League
Colchester U23 vs Bristol City U23
0:3
Mar 15, 2022 Professional Development League
Bristol City U23 vs Colchester U23
3:1
Mar 2, 2021 Professional Development League
Colchester U23 vs Bristol City U23
1:2
Jan 12, 2021 Professional Development League
Bristol City U23 vs Colchester U23
3:1
Mar 9, 2020 Professional Development League
Colchester U23 vs Bristol City U23
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Colchester U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Bristol City U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Conway T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bell S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colchester U23 10 / 100
Bristol City U23 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colchester U23 Bristol City U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bristol City U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Colchester U23 scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Bristol City U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Colchester U23 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Colchester U23 VS Bristol City U23
0.88 Goals Scored 2.13
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Colchester U23

(Home)
03 May
Colchester U23
2 : 2
Peterborough U23
29 Apr
Millwall U23
2 : 3
Colchester U23
25 Apr
Swansea U23
4 : 2
Colchester U23
19 Apr
Colchester U23
0 : 3
Bristol City U23
15 Apr
Colchester U23
2 : 3
QPR U23
Page 1 of 6

Bristol City U23

(Away)
02 Aug
Yate
3 : 3
Bristol City U23
17 May
Bristol City U23
2 : 3
Coventry U23
09 May
Sheffield Utd U23
0 : 1
Bristol City U23
03 May
Bristol City U23
4 : 2
Coventry U23
25 Apr
Barnsley U23
1 : 1
Bristol City U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sheffield Utd U23 23 15 3 5 47:23 48
2 Coventry U23 23 13 4 6 57:39 43
3 Hull City U23 23 12 4 7 44:41 40
4 Wigan U23 23 7 4 12 31:39 25
5 Crewe U23 23 7 2 14 27:50 23
6 Peterborough U23 23 5 7 11 36:41 22
7 Barnsley U23 23 5 7 11 22:42 22
8 Sheffield Wed U23 23 4 8 11 21:32 20
Promotion - Professional Development League 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ipswich U23 24 16 3 5 58:27 51
2 Bristol City U23 24 15 5 4 60:31 50
3 Cardiff U23 24 15 2 7 44:30 47
4 Charlton U23 24 10 6 8 55:46 36
5 Millwall U23 24 9 3 12 34:45 30
6 Colchester U23 24 8 5 11 35:44 29
7 Watford U23 24 6 7 11 28:43 25
8 Swansea U23 24 5 9 10 34:41 24
9 QPR U23 24 7 3 14 34:53 24
Promotion - Professional Development League 2021/2022 (Play Offs)