Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Colchester U23 vs Crewe U23

England England

Professional Development League 2021/2022 Colchester Community Stadium (JobServe), Colchester
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Bennett K.
36' Event
Trialist
45' Event
Evans C.

AI Match Summary

The Professional Development League 2021/2022 game between Colchester U23 and Crewe U23 finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Crewe U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Colchester U23
20%
Draws
16%
Crewe U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Colchester U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Colchester U23 come out ahead of Crewe U23 on wins alone.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Colchester U23 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Crewe U23 here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Colchester U23 Clean Sheet 16%
Crewe U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colchester U23 Crewe U23
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 8
Draws 7 4
Losses 14 18
Goals Scored 1.43 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.8 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2022 Professional Development League
Colchester U23 vs Crewe U23
1:4
Mar 22, 2021 Professional Development League
Crewe U23 vs Colchester U23
2:0
Sep 9, 2019 Professional Development League
Colchester U23 vs Crewe U23
1:2
Apr 15, 2019 Professional Development League
Colchester U23 vs Crewe U23
0:2
Mar 19, 2018 Professional Development League
Colchester U23 vs Crewe U23
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Colchester U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bennett K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Crewe U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Trialist
2 Goals
Assists Leader Evans C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colchester U23 57 / 100
Crewe U23 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colchester U23 Crewe U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Colchester U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Crewe U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Colchester U23 scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Difficult form: Crewe U23 registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Colchester U23 VS Crewe U23
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Colchester U23

(Home)
03 May
Colchester U23
2 : 2
Peterborough U23
29 Apr
Millwall U23
2 : 3
Colchester U23
25 Apr
Swansea U23
4 : 2
Colchester U23
19 Apr
Colchester U23
0 : 3
Bristol City U23
15 Apr
Colchester U23
2 : 3
QPR U23
Page 1 of 6

Crewe U23

(Away)
03 May
Cardiff U23
2 : 1
Crewe U23
28 Apr
Crewe U23
0 : 4
Coventry U23
25 Apr
Crewe U23
0 : 4
Charlton U23
20 Apr
Peterborough U23
0 : 0
Crewe U23
11 Apr
Crewe U23
0 : 3
Sheffield Utd U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sheffield Utd U23 23 15 3 5 47:23 48
2 Coventry U23 23 13 4 6 57:39 43
3 Hull City U23 23 12 4 7 44:41 40
4 Wigan U23 23 7 4 12 31:39 25
5 Crewe U23 23 7 2 14 27:50 23
6 Peterborough U23 23 5 7 11 36:41 22
7 Barnsley U23 23 5 7 11 22:42 22
8 Sheffield Wed U23 23 4 8 11 21:32 20
Promotion - Professional Development League 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ipswich U23 24 16 3 5 58:27 51
2 Bristol City U23 24 15 5 4 60:31 50
3 Cardiff U23 24 15 2 7 44:30 47
4 Charlton U23 24 10 6 8 55:46 36
5 Millwall U23 24 9 3 12 34:45 30
6 Colchester U23 24 8 5 11 35:44 29
7 Watford U23 24 6 7 11 28:43 25
8 Swansea U23 24 5 9 10 34:41 24
9 QPR U23 24 7 3 14 34:53 24
Promotion - Professional Development League 2021/2022 (Play Offs)