Sport Picks

England

Premier League Cup 2021/2022 Colchester Community Stadium (JobServe)

Colchester U23

2 - 3

Stoke City U23

Our Tip

Match Events

30'

Thomas D.

33'

Norton C.

59'

Goodwin W.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Stoke City U23 in this Premier League Cup 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Stoke City U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Colchester U23

39%

Draws

30%

Stoke City U23

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Stoke City U23 lately — more wins on the board than Colchester U23.
39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
Cup games in Premier League Cup 2021/2022 usually bring a different intensity than the league.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%

Colchester U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Stoke City U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Colchester U23	Stoke City U23
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	9	14
Draws	7	7
Losses	14	10
Goals Scored	1.38	1.38
Goals Conceded	2.75	1.63
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.75	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 21, 2022 Premier League Cup

Colchester U23 vs Stoke City U23

Possession: 46% - 45% Cards: 2 - 1

2:3

Sep 10, 2021 Premier League Cup

Stoke City U23 vs Colchester U23

Possession: 59% - 49% Cards: 0 - 3

2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Colchester U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Thomas D.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Stoke City U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Norton C.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Goodwin W.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colchester U23 30 / 100

Stoke City U23 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Colchester U23 Stoke City U23

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick STO Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.50 goals.

Colchester U23 found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Stoke City U23 has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Colchester U23 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Colchester U23 VS Stoke City U23

1.38 Goals Scored 1.38

2.75 Goals Conceded 1.63

88% Over 1.5 88%

88% Over 2.5 75%

63% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	West Brom U23	6	4	1	1	18:8	13
2	Arsenal U23	6	2	2	2	11:12	8
3	Bournemouth U23	6	2	2	2	8:9	8
4	Southampton U23	6	0	3	3	7:15	3

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Middlesbrough U23	6	3	3	13:10	9
2	QPR U23	6	3	3	15:14	9
3	Blackburn U23	6	3	3	16:16	9
4	Nottingham U23	6	3	3	13:17	9

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Derby U23	6	5	1	0	17:9	16
2	Charlton U23	6	3	1	2	14:6	10
3	Norwich U23	6	1	2	3	12:16	5
4	Reading U23	6	1	0	5	6:18	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Peterborough U23	6	3	1	2	13:8	10
2	Sheffield Utd U23	6	3	1	2	9:10	10
3	Everton U23	6	3	0	3	8:9	9
4	Burnley U23	6	2	0	4	8:11	6

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Wigan U23	6	4	1	1	13:7	13
2	Leeds U23	6	2	2	2	10:10	8
3	Sunderland U23	6	1	3	2	9:13	6
4	Mansfield U23	6	1	2	3	7:9	5

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	West Ham U23	6	4	1	1	11:5	13
2	Wolves U23	6	3	2	1	8:6	11
3	Exeter U23	6	1	2	3	9:12	5
4	Swansea U23	6	0	3	3	7:12	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Huddersfield U23	6	5	1	0	17:3	16
2	Newcastle Utd U23	6	3	1	2	9:6	10
3	Watford U23	6	2	0	4	7:15	6
4	Birmingham U23	6	1	0	5	6:15	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Fulham U23	6	5	1	0	14:4	16
2	Stoke City U23	6	3	0	3	15:11	9
3	Colchester U23	6	1	2	3	8:10	5
4	Southend U23	6	1	1	4	4:16	4