This match ends 2-0, with Colchester advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
21%
Colchester
15%
Draws
64%
Fulham U21
Draw rate projection: 15%Favored: Fulham U21
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
Fulham U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
Win probability leans Fulham U21's way, sitting at 80%.
Fulham U21 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Colchester, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals92%
Over 1.5 Goals82%
Over 2.5 Goals78%
Over 3.5 Goals65%
Over 4.5 Goals29%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS)71%
Colchester Clean Sheet14%
Fulham U21 Clean Sheet10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
Metric
Colchester
Fulham U21
Matches Played
31
28
Wins
11
12
Draws
6
5
Losses
14
11
Goals Scored
1.29
2.04
Goals Conceded
1.06
1.68
Expected Goals (xG)
1.73
1.58
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)
1.10
1.40
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 11, 2025EFL Trophy
ColchestervsFulham U21
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Colchester Compare
Top GoalscorerTovide S.
1 Goals
Assists LeaderTucker J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game1.33
Avg xA / game0.86
Fulham U21 Compare
Avg xG / game1.44
Avg xA / game0.88
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Colchester11 / 100
Fulham U2174 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Colchester Fulham U21
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary PickFulham U21 Win (2)
Secondary PickOver 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score1:2
BTTS OutcomeYes (GG)
Over/Under PickOver 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Fulham U21 let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Colchester found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (31 games).
Colchester went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.