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Stadium Background

Colegiales vs San Martin S.J. Prediction & H2H Stats

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio de Colegiales, Buenos Aires
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Zicarelli F.
26'
Monje L.
46'
Sub
Monje L. In: Acosta G.
Out: Monje L.

AI Match Summary

Colegiales in this Primera Nacional matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Colegiales.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Colegiales
15%
Draws
37%
San Martin S.J.
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Colegiales

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Colegiales at 1.04 per game, San Martin S.J. at 1.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Colegiales taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Colegiales Clean Sheet 68%
San Martin S.J. Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colegiales San Martin S.J.
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 11
Draws 7 8
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.04 1
Goals Conceded 0.96 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Primera Nacional
San Martin S.J. vs Colegiales
2:0
May 3, 2026 Primera Nacional
Colegiales vs San Martin S.J.
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Colegiales Compare

Top Goalscorer Zicarelli F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Toloza N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

San Martin S.J. Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colegiales 46 / 100
San Martin S.J. 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colegiales San Martin S.J.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Colegiales found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: San Martin S.J. conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Colegiales has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Colegiales VS San Martin S.J.
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Colegiales

(Home)
26 Sept
Colegiales
2 : 1
Chacarita Juniors
20 Sept
San Martin S.J.
2 : 0
Colegiales
12 Sept
Colegiales
1 : 0
Nueva Chicago
06 Sept
Temperley
3 : 1
Colegiales
02 Sept
Colegiales
3 : 0
Midland
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San Martin S.J.

(Away)
27 Sept
Patronato
3 : 0
San Martin S.J.
20 Sept
San Martin S.J.
2 : 0
Colegiales
16 Sept
San Martin S.J.
0 : 0
Tristan Suarez
12 Sept
Quilmes
1 : 0
San Martin S.J.
06 Sept
San Martin S.J.
3 : 2
Midland
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 32 18 7 7 36:27 61
2 Deportivo Moron 31 16 7 8 49:31 55
3 Deportivo Madryn 32 14 11 7 46:28 53
4 Godoy Cruz 31 15 8 8 40:28 53
5 Colon Santa Fe 31 13 10 8 38:25 49
6 Almirante Brown 31 12 10 9 23:18 46
7 CA Estudiantes 31 12 9 10 29:26 45
8 Ciudad Bolivar 31 10 12 9 26:28 42
9 Los Andes 31 9 13 9 24:21 40
10 Chaco For Ever 31 9 9 13 28:31 36
11 Defensores de Belgrano 31 8 12 11 23:27 36
12 Racing Cordoba 31 9 9 13 28:38 36
13 San Telmo 31 8 10 13 25:34 34
14 All Boys 31 6 15 10 17:26 33
15 Central Norte 31 6 14 11 19:28 32
16 CA Mitre 31 6 14 11 27:39 32
17 San Miguel 31 6 13 12 25:36 31
18 Acassuso 31 7 8 16 22:34 29
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 31 15 12 4 32:15 57
2 Gimnasia Jujuy 31 15 9 7 47:38 54
3 Temperley 31 14 11 6 36:25 53
4 Atletico Atlanta 31 16 4 11 35:28 52
5 Gimnasia y Tiro 31 13 9 9 32:27 48
6 Midland 31 13 8 10 34:26 47
7 San Martin S.J. 31 12 9 10 33:30 45
8 Deportivo Maipu 31 12 8 11 38:31 44
9 Colegiales 31 12 7 12 31:31 43
10 Atl. Rafaela 31 11 9 11 25:27 42
11 San Martin T. 31 9 13 9 34:32 40
12 Quilmes 31 10 8 13 30:27 38
13 Nueva Chicago 31 9 9 13 23:29 36
14 Agropecuario 31 9 9 13 26:35 36
15 Almagro 31 9 8 14 26:37 35
16 Patronato 31 6 16 9 27:31 34
17 Chacarita Juniors 31 8 6 17 23:33 30
18 Club Atletico Guemes 31 5 8 18 23:53 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)