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Colegiales vs Sportivo Carapegua

Paraguay Paraguay

Division Intermedia 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Orquiola C.
11' Event
Gimenez A.
13' Event
Echeverria G.

AI Match Summary

Colegiales in this Division Intermedia 2024 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Colegiales.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Colegiales
6%
Draws
90%
Sportivo Carapegua
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Sportivo Carapegua

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Sportivo Carapegua has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Colegiales.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Sportivo Carapegua.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Division Intermedia 2024 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Colegiales Clean Sheet 20%
Sportivo Carapegua Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colegiales Sportivo Carapegua
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 2 7
Draws 4 9
Losses 24 15
Goals Scored 0 1.25
Goals Conceded 0 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 27, 2024 Division Intermedia
Colegiales vs Sportivo Carapegua
4:1
May 22, 2024 Division Intermedia
Sportivo Carapegua vs Colegiales
4:3
Sep 9, 2023 Division Intermedia
Colegiales vs Sportivo Carapegua
0:4
Jun 5, 2023 Division Intermedia
Sportivo Carapegua vs Colegiales
0:0
Aug 21, 2011 Division Intermedia
Colegiales vs Sportivo Carapegua
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Colegiales Compare

Top Goalscorer Thompson E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Orquiola C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sportivo Carapegua Compare

Top Goalscorer Gimenez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colegiales 10 / 100
Sportivo Carapegua 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colegiales Sportivo Carapegua

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Colegiales scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Sportivo Carapegua let in goals in 90% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Colegiales went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Sportivo Carapegua lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sportivo Carapegua
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Recoleta30198357:2065
2Atletico Tembetary30195646:2462
3Sportivo Carapegua30177645:2758
4San Lorenzo301210835:3146
5Resistencia301361135:3545
6Encarnacion FC301281043:3944
7Deportivo Santani301191035:3342
8Rubio Nu301191033:3542
9Guairena FC301011930:2538
1012 de Junio301081235:3538
11Independiente FBC301081233:3738
12Martin Ledesma308121028:3536
13Fernando de la Mora308111131:3335
143 de Febrero306111324:3729
15Pastoreo30651928:5023
16Colegiales30242428:7010