Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Coleraine vs Armagh

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish League Cup 2025/2026 The Showgrounds, Coleraine
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
McDonald R.
25' Event
Devlin O.
34' Event
McGregor L.

AI Match Summary

Coleraine in this Irish League Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 7-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
Coleraine
20%
Draws
11%
Armagh
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Coleraine

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Coleraine have won more games recently than Armagh.
  • Win probability leans Coleraine's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Coleraine have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Coleraine, who have won 4 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Coleraine have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Coleraine Clean Sheet 20%
Armagh Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coleraine Armagh
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 24 1
Draws 4 8
Losses 4 21
Goals Scored 2.28 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.03 3.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 4, 2025 Irish League Cup
Coleraine vs Armagh
7:1
Jan 4, 2025 Irish Cup
Coleraine vs Armagh
5:0
Jul 20, 2024 Club Friendly
Coleraine vs Armagh
1:0
Apr 19, 2008 NIFL Premiership
Coleraine vs Armagh
2:0
Dec 22, 2007 NIFL Premiership
Armagh vs Coleraine
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Coleraine Compare

Top Goalscorer Devlin O.
2 Goals
Assists Leader McGregor L.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Armagh Compare

Top Goalscorer Mullen C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coleraine 85 / 100
Armagh 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coleraine Armagh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Coleraine Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Coleraine's goal record stands at 88% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Armagh let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Coleraine has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Coleraine VS Armagh
2.25 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Coleraine

(Home)
25 Sept
Coleraine
1 : 3
Linfield
19 Sept
Coleraine
1 : 0
Limavady
15 Sept
Glentoran
1 : 2
Coleraine
11 Sept
Coleraine
3 : 2
Ballymena
05 Sept
Coleraine
4 : 1
Crusaders
Page 1 of 7

Armagh

(Away)
26 Sept
Armagh
0 : 2
Dundela
19 Sept
Loughgall
0 : 0
Armagh
12 Sept
Armagh
3 : 5
Institute
04 Sept
Newry City
2 : 2
Armagh
28 Aug
Moyola
1 : 0
Armagh
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Institute -
TBD -
TBD -
Glentoran -
Crusaders -
TBD -
Oxford Sunnyside 1
Ballymacash 5
Cliftonville -
TBD -
Ballyclare 1
Coagh Utd 2
Loughgall -
TBD -
TBD -
Strabane Athletic -
Ards -
TBD -
TBD -
Dungannon -
Moyola 5
Portstewart 3
TBD -
Annagh -
Dollingstown -
TBD -
TBD -
Coleraine -
Armagh -
TBD -
TBD -
Carrick Rangers -
Newry City 3
Knockbreda 0
TBD -
Portadown -
Warrenpoint -
TBD -
TBD -
Glenavon -
Harland & Wolff -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundela -
Linfield -
TBD -
TBD -
Queens University -
Ballymena -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballinamallard -
Newington FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Limavady -
Dergview 3
Rathfriland Rangers 1
TBD -
Larne -
Bangor FC -
TBD -
Lisburn Distillery 3
Banbridge 2
1/16-finals
Institute 0
Glentoran 1
Crusaders 3
Ballymacash 1
Cliftonville 4
Coagh Utd 1
Loughgall 2
Strabane Athletic 3
Ards 1
Dungannon 2
Moyola 3
Annagh 0
Dollingstown 0
Coleraine 8
Armagh 3
Carrick Rangers 2
Newry City 1
Portadown 0
Warrenpoint 0
Glenavon 2
Harland & Wolff 6
Dundela 0
Linfield 2
Queens University 0
Ballymena 1
Ballinamallard 0
Newington FC 3
Limavady 1
Dergview 3
Larne 7
Bangor FC 4
Lisburn Distillery 1
1/8-finals
Glentoran 2
Crusaders 1
Cliftonville 5
Strabane Athletic 2
Dungannon 0
Moyola 1
Coleraine 7
Armagh 1
Newry City 1
Glenavon 0
Harland & Wolff 3
Linfield 6
Ballymena 3
Newington FC 0
Larne 2
Bangor FC 1
Quarter-finals
Glentoran 2
Cliftonville 1
Moyola 0
Coleraine 2
Newry City 2
Linfield 3
Ballymena 2
Larne 0
Semi-finals
Glentoran 2
Coleraine 1
Linfield 1
Ballymena 0
Final
Glentoran 0
Linfield 1