Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Coleraine vs Larne

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Premiership The Showgrounds, Coleraine
Sat, Aug 15, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Coleraine host Larne in the NIFL Premiership. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Coleraine at 2.38 goals for, 1 against; Larne at 1.88 for, 0.75 against. Head-to-head, Coleraine have won 2 to Larne's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Jul 3, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.56 - 1.44) back Coleraine to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Coleraine
33%
Draws
27%
Larne
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Coleraine

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Coleraine come out ahead of Larne on wins alone.
  • Coleraine are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular NIFL Premiership form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Coleraine Clean Sheet 16%
Larne Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coleraine Larne
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 21 18
Draws 3 6
Losses 6 5
Goals Scored 2.38 1.88
Goals Conceded 1 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2026 Charity Shield
Larne vs Coleraine
1:0
Apr 7, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Larne vs Coleraine
1:4
Apr 4, 2026 Irish Cup
Coleraine vs Larne
2:1
Jan 2, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Larne vs Coleraine
3:0
Nov 25, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Coleraine vs Larne
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coleraine 39 / 100
Larne 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coleraine Larne

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Coleraine found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Coleraine went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Larne has conceded goals in 52% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Coleraine VS Larne
2.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Coleraine

(Home)
23 Jul
HJK
5 : 0
Coleraine
18 Jul
Coleraine
3 : 0
Portadown
14 Jul
Sligo Rovers
1 : 2
Coleraine
11 Jul
Newbuildings
2 : 5
Coleraine
11 Jul
Coleraine
3 : 0
Portstewart
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Larne

(Away)
21 Jul
Larne
0 : 4
Crvena zvezda
14 Jul
Larne
2 : 1
Tre Fiori
07 Jul
Tre Fiori
0 : 1
Larne
03 Jul
Larne
1 : 0
Coleraine
29 Jun
Harland & Wolff
1 : 2
Larne
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Glentoran00000:00
2Cliftonville00000:00
3Ballymena00000:00
4Bangor FC00000:00
5Coleraine00000:00
6Crusaders00000:00
7Dungannon00000:00
8Linfield00000:00
9Larne00000:00
10Limavady00000:00
11Portadown00000:00
12Carrick Rangers00000:00
Promotion - NIFL Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group)