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Colima FC vs Saltillo

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Ramirez Jr R.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024 game between Colima FC and Saltillo finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Saltillo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Colima FC
20%
Draws
51%
Saltillo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Saltillo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Saltillo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 29% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Saltillo have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Colima FC Clean Sheet 68%
Saltillo Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colima FC Saltillo
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 4 11
Draws 5 9
Losses 23 9
Goals Scored 0.78 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.81 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2024 Liga Premier Serie A
Colima FC vs Saltillo
0:1
Nov 11, 2023 Liga Premier Serie A
Saltillo vs Colima FC
1:0
Jan 7, 2023 Liga Premier Serie A
Saltillo vs Colima FC
3:0
Aug 27, 2022 Liga Premier Serie A
Colima FC vs Saltillo
1:1
Mar 19, 2022 Liga Premier Serie A
Saltillo vs Colima FC
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Colima FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Saltillo Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramirez Jr R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colima FC 41 / 100
Saltillo 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colima FC Saltillo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Colima FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Colima FC scored in 41% of their last 32 outings.

Defensive concern: Saltillo conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.

Colima FC has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Colima FC VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Colima FC

(Home)
11 Apr
Colima FC
1 : 4
Tecos
05 Apr
Zapotlanejo
1 : 3
Colima FC
29 Mar
Guerreros de Autlan
2 : 0
Colima FC
21 Mar
Colima FC
0 : 0
Mineros de Fresnillo
14 Mar
Cimarrones de Sonora
2 : 0
Colima FC
Page 1 of 7

Saltillo

(Away)
27 Apr
Leones Negros 2
4 : 1
Saltillo
21 Apr
Saltillo
0 : 1
Tritones Vallarta
13 Apr
Colima FC
0 : 1
Saltillo
07 Apr
Saltillo
1 : 0
Tecos
29 Mar
Correcaminos 2
0 : 0
Saltillo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Los Cabos United 32 20 6 6 55:27 71
2 Alacranes de Durango 32 18 10 4 53:22 67
3 Gavilanes de Matamoros 32 16 7 9 46:33 57
4 Correcaminos 2 32 17 2 13 48:47 57
5 Tecos 32 15 6 11 54:36 53
6 Leones Negros 2 32 15 2 15 47:45 52
7 Cimarrones de Sonora 2 32 13 7 12 32:31 48
8 UA Zacatecas 32 14 8 10 46:38 47
9 CF Orgullo Reynosa 32 11 11 10 31:29 47
10 Tritones Vallarta 32 11 11 10 33:27 46
11 Saltillo 32 11 11 10 30:31 46
12 Apodaca 32 12 6 14 42:41 45
13 Mineros de Fresnillo 32 10 10 12 38:41 40
14 Calor De San Pedro 32 11 6 15 31:50 37
15 Dragones Toluca 32 8 5 19 22:56 29
16 Colima FC 32 7 3 22 31:62 25
17 Coras FC 32 6 3 23 25:48 21
18 Chihuahua F.C. 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing de Veracruz 32 23 5 4 46:18 77
2 Jaiba Brava 32 19 6 7 59:29 67
3 Deportiva Venados 32 18 5 9 52:38 62
4 Irapuato 32 14 11 7 55:24 57
5 Aguacateros de Periban 32 16 6 10 56:37 57
6 Petroleros Salamanca 32 16 5 11 34:22 56
7 Inter Playa Del Carmen 32 14 10 8 39:29 56
8 Montaneses 32 16 5 11 47:42 56
9 Escorpiones 32 14 9 9 38:29 54
10 Reboceros de La Piedad 32 13 4 15 39:35 47
11 Cafetaleros de Chiapas 32 14 4 14 40:38 47
12 Pioneros 32 10 7 15 32:47 37
13 Lobos ULMX 32 9 5 18 29:47 34
14 Halcones de Zapopan 32 6 13 13 29:38 32
15 CS Canamy 32 9 3 20 40:58 29
16 San Juan de Aragon 32 7 2 23 30:62 25
17 Inter de Queretaro 32 3 2 27 18:90 10
18 Yalmakan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)