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Colinas vs Alvorada

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Campeonato Tocantinense 2005
Colinas Logo

Colinas

3 - 0
FT
Alvorada Logo

Alvorada

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Tocantinense 2005 game between Colinas and Alvorada finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Colinas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Colinas
35%
Draws
56%
Alvorada
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Alvorada

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Alvorada come out ahead of Colinas on wins alone.
  • Alvorada are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • Colinas have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 52.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Colinas Clean Sheet 10%
Alvorada Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colinas Alvorada
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 3 11
Draws 8 7
Losses 18 12
Goals Scored 0.9 1.6
Goals Conceded 2.76 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 3.10
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2006 Tocantinense
Alvorada vs Colinas
0:6
May 21, 2005 Tocantinense
Alvorada vs Colinas
1:2
Apr 16, 2005 Tocantinense
Colinas vs Alvorada
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colinas 10 / 100
Alvorada 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colinas Alvorada

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Alvorada conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Colinas scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Colinas has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Colinas VS Alvorada
0.2 Goals Scored 1
5.2 Goals Conceded 2.13
80% Over 1.5 88%
80% Over 2.5 88%
80% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Colinas

(Home)
02 Nov
Bela Vista-TO
8 : 0
Colinas
26 Oct
Colinas
0 : 5
Guarai SC
19 Oct
Araguacema
7 : 1
Colinas
12 Oct
SD Sparta
6 : 0
Colinas
15 Apr
Tocantins
1 : 1
Colinas
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Alvorada

(Away)
29 Nov
Guarai SC
2 : 2
Alvorada
22 Nov
Alvorada
3 : 4
Guarai SC
15 Nov
Paraiso EC
2 : 2
Alvorada
08 Nov
Alvorada
2 : 0
Paraiso EC
25 Oct
Uniao de Palmas
1 : 1
Alvorada
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colinas 18 12 1 5 31:17 37
2 Araguaina 18 10 3 5 39:18 33
3 Gurupi 18 9 4 5 41:16 31
4 Palmas 18 9 4 5 31:18 31
5 Interporto 18 8 5 5 29:29 29
6 Tocantinopolis 18 6 6 6 29:24 24
7 CA Tocantinense 18 5 7 6 27:35 22
8 Paraiso EC 18 5 5 8 19:33 20
9 Miracema EC 18 3 5 10 28:44 14
10 Alvorada 18 2 2 14 17:57 8
Promotion - Campeonato Tocantinense 2005 (Second stage)