Sport Picks
Collado Villalba vs Aravaca CF
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025 
Match Events
11'
11'
Alonso Moran J.
20'
20'
Corral A.
66'
66'
Sanchez Gomez J. D.
AI Match Summary
Collado Villalba in this Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Collado Villalba.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
20%
44%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aravaca CF
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
44%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Collado Villalba lately — more wins on the board than Aravaca CF.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Collado Villalba Clean Sheet 19%
Aravaca CF Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Collado Villalba | Aravaca CF |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 8 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 9 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.37 | 1.33 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 1.67 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Collado Villalba vs Aravaca CF
4:2
Dec 15, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Aravaca CF vs Collado Villalba
2:2
Mar 24, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Aravaca CF vs Collado Villalba
1:1
Nov 8, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Collado Villalba vs Aravaca CF
2:3
Mar 30, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Collado Villalba vs Aravaca CF
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Collado Villalba Compare
Top Goalscorer Alonso Moran J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Corral A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Aravaca CF Compare
Top Goalscorer Sanchez Gomez J. D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Rodriguez Garcia J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Collado Villalba 32 / 100
Aravaca CF 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Collado Villalba Aravaca CF
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Aravaca CF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Collado Villalba scored in 80% of their last 30 games.
Aravaca CF has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.
H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Collado Villalba remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Collado Villalba VS Aravaca CF
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Collado Villalba
(Home) 11 May
Collado Villalba
0 : 1 Galapagar
04 May
Trival Valderas
1 : 1 Collado Villalba
26 Apr
Collado Villalba
4 : 2 Aravaca CF
16 Apr
Mexico
1 : 1 Collado Villalba
12 Apr
Collado Villalba
1 : 2 Parla
Page 1 of 6
11 May
Collado Villalba
0 : 1 Galapagar
26 Apr
Collado Villalba
4 : 2 Aravaca CF
12 Apr
Collado Villalba
1 : 2 Parla
30 Mar
Collado Villalba
0 : 0 CD Las Rozas
16 Mar
Collado Villalba
1 : 0 Alcorcon B
Page 1 of 3
Aravaca CF
(Away) 11 May
Carabanchel
1 : 0 Aravaca CF
04 May
Aravaca CF
6 : 1 El Alamo
26 Apr
Collado Villalba
4 : 2 Aravaca CF
17 Apr
Aravaca CF
1 : 0 Galapagar
13 Apr
Trival Valderas
2 : 1 Aravaca CF
Page 1 of 6
11 May
Carabanchel
1 : 0 Aravaca CF
26 Apr
Collado Villalba
4 : 2 Aravaca CF
13 Apr
Trival Valderas
2 : 1 Aravaca CF
05 Apr
Cala Pozuelo
2 : 1 Aravaca CF
23 Mar
Parla
1 : 2 Aravaca CF
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RSD Alcala | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 68:32 | 75 |
| 2 | Rayo Vallecano B | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 71:52 | 61 |
| 3 | AD Torrejon | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 55:48 | 58 |
| 4 | Villaverde San Andres | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 52:37 | 54 |
| 5 | Galapagar | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 45:41 | 54 |
| 6 | CD Las Rozas | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 45:42 | 54 |
| 7 | Collado Villalba | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 44:36 | 52 |
| 8 | Leganes B | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 58:38 | 51 |
| 9 | Alcorcon B | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 55:50 | 47 |
| 10 | Trival Valderas | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 47:47 | 46 |
| 11 | Tres Cantos | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 43:44 | 45 |
| 12 | Mexico | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 35:49 | 42 |
| 13 | Carabanchel | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 30:29 | 42 |
| 14 | Parla | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38:58 | 38 |
| 15 | Cala Pozuelo | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 42:51 | 38 |
| 16 | Aravaca CF | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 42:52 | 35 |
| 17 | Canillas | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 36:68 | 23 |
| 18 | El Alamo | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 29:61 | 22 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
