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Collado Villalba vs Parla - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

56' Event
Escobar J.
58' Event
Alonso Moran J.
89' Event
Escobar J.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025 game between Collado Villalba and Parla finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Parla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Collado Villalba
30%
Draws
12%
Parla
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Collado Villalba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Collado Villalba carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Collado Villalba are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Collado Villalba Clean Sheet 68%
Parla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Collado Villalba Parla
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 13 7
Draws 8 4
Losses 9 21
Goals Scored 1.37 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Collado Villalba vs Parla
1:2
Dec 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Parla vs Collado Villalba
0:1
Feb 18, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Collado Villalba vs Parla
0:3
Oct 1, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Parla vs Collado Villalba
0:2
Apr 17, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Parla vs Collado Villalba
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Collado Villalba Compare

Top Goalscorer Alonso Moran J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

Parla Compare

Top Goalscorer Escobar J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Collado Villalba 95 / 100
Parla 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Collado Villalba Parla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Collado Villalba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Collado Villalba's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Parla has conceded goals in 84% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Collado Villalba remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Parla
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Collado Villalba

(Home)
11 May
Collado Villalba
0 : 1
Galapagar
04 May
Trival Valderas
1 : 1
Collado Villalba
26 Apr
Collado Villalba
4 : 2
Aravaca CF
16 Apr
Mexico
1 : 1
Collado Villalba
12 Apr
Collado Villalba
1 : 2
Parla
Page 1 of 6

Parla

(Away)
10 May
AD Torrejon
1 : 0
Parla
03 May
Parla
0 : 5
Galapagar
26 Apr
Parla
0 : 4
Alcorcon B
18 Apr
Mexico
2 : 2
Parla
12 Apr
Parla
3 : 4
Tres Cantos
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RSD Alcala 34 23 6 5 68:32 75
2 Rayo Vallecano B 34 18 7 9 71:52 61
3 AD Torrejon 34 17 7 10 55:48 58
4 Villaverde San Andres 34 14 12 8 52:37 54
5 Galapagar 34 14 12 8 45:41 54
6 CD Las Rozas 34 15 9 10 45:42 54
7 Collado Villalba 34 14 10 10 44:36 52
8 Leganes B 34 13 12 9 58:38 51
9 Alcorcon B 34 13 8 13 55:50 47
10 Trival Valderas 34 12 10 12 47:47 46
11 Tres Cantos 34 12 9 13 43:44 45
12 Mexico 34 11 9 14 35:49 42
13 Carabanchel 34 10 12 12 30:29 42
14 Parla 34 10 8 16 38:58 38
15 Cala Pozuelo 34 10 8 16 42:51 38
16 Aravaca CF 34 9 8 17 42:52 35
17 Canillas 34 5 8 21 36:68 23
18 El Alamo 34 5 7 22 29:61 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025 (Play Offs)