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Collado Villalba vs Real Aranjuez

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Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2022/2023 game between Collado Villalba and Real Aranjuez finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Real Aranjuez.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Collado Villalba
30%
Draws
12%
Real Aranjuez
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Collado Villalba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Collado Villalba come out ahead of Real Aranjuez on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Collado Villalba's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Collado Villalba Clean Sheet 68%
Real Aranjuez Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Collado Villalba Real Aranjuez
Matches Played 37 29
Wins 15 2
Draws 10 4
Losses 12 23
Goals Scored 1.35 0.66
Goals Conceded 1.24 2.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.96 0.92
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 5, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Collado Villalba vs Real Aranjuez
0:1
Oct 2, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Real Aranjuez vs Collado Villalba
0:2
Mar 16, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Real Aranjuez vs Collado Villalba
0:0
Oct 20, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Collado Villalba vs Real Aranjuez
1:0
Mar 3, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Real Aranjuez vs Collado Villalba
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Collado Villalba 95 / 100
Real Aranjuez 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Collado Villalba Real Aranjuez

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Collado Villalba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Collado Villalba found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (37 games).

Real Aranjuez has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Collado Villalba remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Real Aranjuez lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Collado Villalba VS Real Aranjuez
1.25 Goals Scored 0.83
1 Goals Conceded 2.67
63% Over 1.5 83%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Collado Villalba

(Home)
11 May
Collado Villalba
0 : 1
Galapagar
04 May
Trival Valderas
1 : 1
Collado Villalba
26 Apr
Collado Villalba
4 : 2
Aravaca CF
16 Apr
Mexico
1 : 1
Collado Villalba
12 Apr
Collado Villalba
1 : 2
Parla
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Real Aranjuez

(Away)
26 Sept
Real Aranjuez
1 : 2
Trival Valderas
20 Sept
RC Alcobendas
1 : 1
Real Aranjuez
12 Sept
Real Aranjuez
2 : 5
Galapagar
06 Sept
Leganes B
2 : 0
Real Aranjuez
02 Sept
Real Aranjuez
1 : 6
Alaves C
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ursaria 30 20 8 2 62:22 68
2 RSC Internacional 30 21 4 5 73:27 67
3 Getafe B 30 15 9 6 49:24 54
4 Paracuellos Antamira 30 14 6 10 48:40 48
5 CD Mostoles 30 14 5 11 38:32 47
6 RSD Alcala 30 12 10 8 31:28 46
7 CD Las Rozas 30 13 6 11 37:38 45
8 Trival Valderas 30 11 4 15 38:44 37
9 Pozuelo de Alarcon 30 9 10 11 37:47 37
10 AD Torrejon 30 9 8 13 31:42 35
11 Galapagar 30 10 5 15 38:44 35
12 Collado Villalba 30 9 7 14 30:45 34
13 Canillas 30 9 7 14 34:46 34
14 Rayo Vallecano B 30 9 6 15 42:45 33
15 CDE Madrid 30 9 5 16 31:52 32
16 Real Aranjuez 30 4 4 22 21:64 16
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2022/2023 (Play Offs)