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College Corinthians vs Crumlin Utd

Ireland Ireland

FAI Cup 2015
Our Tip

Match Events

70' Event

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Crumlin Utd advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
College Corinthians
15%
Draws
51%
Crumlin Utd
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Crumlin Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Crumlin Utd come out ahead of College Corinthians on wins alone.
  • Model gives Crumlin Utd a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Crumlin Utd arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Crumlin Utd, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
College Corinthians Clean Sheet 10%
Crumlin Utd Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric College Corinthians Crumlin Utd
Matches Played 15 29
Wins 4 14
Draws 2 1
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.33 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.85
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2015 FAI Cup
College Corinthians vs Crumlin Utd
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

College Corinthians 14 / 100
Crumlin Utd 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
College Corinthians Crumlin Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Crumlin Utd Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

College Corinthians's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 15 recent games.

Defensive concern: Crumlin Utd conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

College Corinthians has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

College Corinthians VS Crumlin Utd
2 Goals Scored 2.38
3.33 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

College Corinthians

(Home)
15 Aug
College Corinthians
0 : 3
Drogheda
18 Jul
Bangor Celtic
4 : 5
College Corinthians
17 May
College Corinthians
2 : 1
Killester Donnycarney
17 May
College Corinthians
1 : 2
Bangor Celtic
18 May
College Corinthians
4 : 5
Cobh Wanderers
Page 1 of 3

Crumlin Utd

(Away)
17 Jul
Galway United
4 : 0
Crumlin Utd
23 May
Crumlin Utd
4 : 0
Salthill
18 Jul
Drogheda
5 : 0
Crumlin Utd
16 May
Crumlin Utd
4 : 2
Lucan Utd
10 Oct
Crumlin Utd
3 : 0
Bluebell Utd
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Bray -
TBD -
TBD -
Limerick -
Firhouse 1
Glenville 0
TBD -
Bohemians -
Tolka -
TBD -
TBD -
Waterford -
Cobh Ramblers -
TBD -
Dunboyne 0
Killester Donnycarney 3
Derry City -
TBD -
TBD -
Edenderry Town -
Cabinteely -
TBD -
TBD -
Drogheda -
St. Patricks -
TBD -
TBD -
Shamrock Rovers -
Wexford -
TBD -
TBD -
Cork City -
Dundalk -
TBD -
TBD -
Shelbourne -
North End United 4
University College Cork 0
TBD -
Galway United -
Cobh Wanderers 2
Clonmel Celtic 0
St. Marys 0
Avondale United 1
Crumlin Utd 1
College Corinthians 0
TBD -
Sligo Rovers -
Sheriff YC -
TBD -
TBD -
UC Dublin -
Liffey Wanderers -
TBD -
TBD -
Athlone -
Cockhill 1
Casement Celtic 0
Arklow 2
St Mochta's 5
Finn Harps -
TBD -
TBD -
Longford -
1/16-finals
Bray 3
Limerick 1
Firhouse 1
Bohemians 4
Tolka 2
Waterford 1
Cobh Ramblers 0
Killester Donnycarney 3
Derry City 3
Edenderry Town 0
Cabinteely 1
Drogheda 3
St. Patricks 2
Shamrock Rovers 1
Wexford 0
Cork City 2
Dundalk 5
Shelbourne 0
North End United 0
Galway United 1
Cobh Wanderers 6
Avondale United 3
Crumlin Utd 0
Sligo Rovers 2
Sheriff YC 3
UC Dublin 1
Liffey Wanderers 2
Athlone 3
Cockhill 3
St Mochta's 0
Finn Harps 1
Longford 2
1/8-finals
Bray 1
Bohemians 0
Tolka 0
Killester Donnycarney 4
Derry City 3
Drogheda 0
St. Patricks 0
Cork City 4
Dundalk 4
Galway United 1
Cobh Wanderers 0
Sligo Rovers 4
Sheriff YC 3
Athlone 2
Cockhill 0
Longford 2
Quarter-finals
Bray 2
Killester Donnycarney 0
Derry City 1
Cork City 4
Dundalk 4
Sligo Rovers 0
Sheriff YC 1
Longford 3
Semi-finals
Bray 0
Cork City 1
Dundalk 2
Longford 0
Final
Cork City 0
Dundalk 1