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Collerense vs Alcudia

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Ripoll M.
11' Event
Rodriguez G.
15' Event
Abolafio A.

AI Match Summary

Collerense in this Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Collerense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Collerense
20%
Draws
36%
Alcudia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Collerense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Collerense haven't matched Alcudia's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Collerense's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Collerense Clean Sheet 15%
Alcudia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Collerense Alcudia
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 5 11
Draws 8 5
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 1.07 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Collerense vs Alcudia
4:2
Nov 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Alcudia vs Collerense
4:3
Feb 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Collerense vs Alcudia
3:1
Sep 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Alcudia vs Collerense
1:1
May 11, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Alcudia vs Collerense
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Collerense Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez G.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Abolafio A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Alcudia Compare

Top Goalscorer Ripoll M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jimenez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Collerense 35 / 100
Alcudia 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Collerense Alcudia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Collerense found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Alcudia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Collerense has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Collerense VS Alcudia
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Collerense

(Home)
29 Aug
Collerense
1 : 2
Santanyi
10 May
Pena Deportiva
2 : 0
Collerense
02 May
Collerense
2 : 1
Portmany
25 Apr
Rotlet Molinar
2 : 5
Collerense
19 Apr
Constancia
4 : 0
Collerense
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Alcudia

(Away)
10 May
Mercadal
3 : 2
Alcudia
03 May
Alcudia
1 : 1
Binissalem
26 Apr
Felanitx
0 : 2
Alcudia
18 Apr
Alcudia
2 : 2
Pena Deportiva
11 Apr
Portmany
3 : 1
Alcudia
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mallorca B 34 26 6 2 105:22 84
2 Manacor 34 24 5 5 71:39 77
3 Pena Deportiva 34 20 8 6 69:30 68
4 Constancia 34 19 5 10 62:29 62
5 Llosetense 34 16 10 8 59:40 58
6 Formentera 34 13 13 8 40:29 52
7 Inter Ibiza 34 15 5 14 42:43 50
8 Mercadal 34 15 4 15 31:45 49
9 Cardassar 34 12 8 14 38:55 44
10 Platges de Calvia 34 12 6 16 41:43 42
11 Binissalem 34 10 11 13 26:34 41
12 Santanyi 34 11 8 15 43:58 41
13 Alcudia 34 11 5 18 37:62 38
14 CD Son Cladera 34 11 5 18 41:63 38
15 Portmany 34 8 6 20 25:50 30
16 Collerense 34 6 10 18 41:64 28
17 Felanitx 34 5 11 18 32:62 26
18 Rotlet Molinar 34 5 8 21 34:69 23
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 (Play Offs)