Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Collerense vs Migjorn

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Riveron S.
55' Event
Rodriguez I. R.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2024/2025 game between Collerense and Migjorn finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Collerense
15%
Draws
28%
Migjorn
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Collerense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Collerense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Collerense are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 32.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Collerense Clean Sheet 20%
Migjorn Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Collerense Migjorn
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 5 4
Draws 10 3
Losses 17 22
Goals Scored 1.06 0.72
Goals Conceded 1.81 2.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.40 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Collerense vs Migjorn
1:1
Oct 5, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Migjorn vs Collerense
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Collerense Compare

Top Goalscorer Riveron S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.7

Migjorn Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez I. R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Collerense 76 / 100
Migjorn 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Collerense Migjorn

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Collerense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Migjorn conceded in 93% of 29 recent games.

Collerense found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (32 games).

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Migjorn lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Collerense VS Migjorn
1 Goals Scored 0.6
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.8
63% Over 1.5 40%
38% Over 2.5 40%
25% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Collerense

(Home)
29 Aug
Collerense
1 : 2
Santanyi
10 May
Pena Deportiva
2 : 0
Collerense
02 May
Collerense
2 : 1
Portmany
25 Apr
Rotlet Molinar
2 : 5
Collerense
19 Apr
Constancia
4 : 0
Collerense
Page 1 of 7

Migjorn

(Away)
27 Sept
Migjorn
1 : 0
Binissalem
19 Sept
Manacor
5 : 1
Migjorn
12 Sept
Migjorn
1 : 3
SD Ibiza
06 Sept
PE Sant Jordi
1 : 0
Migjorn
11 May
Migjorn
1 : 3
Porreres
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Poblense 34 22 6 6 47:17 72
2 Constancia 34 18 13 3 55:31 67
3 Formentera 34 19 9 6 68:34 66
4 Porreres 34 17 11 6 51:32 62
5 Penya Independent 34 17 7 10 59:34 58
6 Platges de Calvia 34 14 12 8 51:37 54
7 Manacor 34 13 12 9 54:36 51
8 Alcudia 34 13 8 13 51:53 47
9 Binissalem 34 13 8 13 35:34 47
10 Llosetense 34 12 8 14 47:45 44
11 Santanyi 34 10 13 11 40:45 43
12 Mercadal 34 10 10 14 40:43 40
13 Felanitx 34 10 10 14 33:50 40
14 Collerense 34 9 12 13 42:48 39
15 Portmany 34 8 13 13 43:51 37
16 PE Sant Jordi 34 8 6 20 30:52 30
17 Campos 34 4 8 22 31:75 20
18 Migjorn 34 4 4 26 22:82 16
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2024/2025 (Play Offs)