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Collerense vs UD Alaro

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 11 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Collerense in this Tercera Division - Group 11 2014/2015 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Collerense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Collerense
15%
Draws
0%
UD Alaro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Collerense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Collerense lately — more wins on the board than UD Alaro.
  • Model gives Collerense a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 11 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Collerense Clean Sheet 18%
UD Alaro Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Collerense UD Alaro
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 6 2
Draws 9 7
Losses 17 21
Goals Scored 1.13 0.37
Goals Conceded 1.78 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Collerense vs UD Alaro
3:0
Jan 6, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
UD Alaro vs Collerense
1:1
Apr 26, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Collerense vs UD Alaro
1:0
Dec 6, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
UD Alaro vs Collerense
5:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Collerense 85 / 100
UD Alaro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Collerense UD Alaro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Collerense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: UD Alaro conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: UD Alaro registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Collerense scored in 63% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Collerense VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Collerense

(Home)
29 Aug
Collerense
1 : 2
Santanyi
10 May
Pena Deportiva
2 : 0
Collerense
02 May
Collerense
2 : 1
Portmany
25 Apr
Rotlet Molinar
2 : 5
Collerense
19 Apr
Constancia
4 : 0
Collerense
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UD Alaro

(Away)
15 May
Collerense
3 : 0
UD Alaro
07 May
UD Alaro
0 : 4
Alcudia
29 Apr
UD Poblense
4 : 0
UD Alaro
24 Apr
UD Alaro
0 : 1
Mercadal
17 Apr
Formentera
3 : 0
UD Alaro
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Formentera 38 20 13 5 41:13 73
2 Llosetense 38 20 12 6 66:35 72
3 Pena Deportiva 38 21 9 8 57:40 72
4 Mercadal 38 19 10 9 64:32 67
5 Constancia 38 19 9 10 64:42 66
6 UD Poblense 38 18 12 8 64:37 66
7 Binissalem 38 17 15 6 63:33 66
8 Soller 38 13 14 11 52:54 53
9 Penya Ciutadella Esportiva 38 14 8 16 43:50 50
10 El Espinar Sant Rafel 38 12 12 14 45:43 48
11 CD Montuiri 38 12 9 17 49:58 45
12 Campos 38 10 13 15 34:44 43
13 Collerense 38 11 10 17 42:52 43
14 UD Alaro 38 10 12 16 44:55 42
15 Alcudia 38 9 15 14 32:52 42
16 Ferriolense 38 10 11 17 39:50 41
17 Platges de Calvia 38 7 20 11 32:41 41
18 CD Son Cladera 38 9 8 21 30:65 35
19 Manacor 38 6 13 19 36:65 31
20 Atletico Rafal 38 5 11 22 37:73 26
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)