Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Colligiana vs Mezzolara

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group D 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Colligiana
35%
Draws
56%
Mezzolara
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Mezzolara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Colligiana lately — more wins on the board than Mezzolara.
  • Win probability leans Mezzolara's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group D 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Colligiana Clean Sheet 10%
Mezzolara Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colligiana Mezzolara
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 3
Draws 7 11
Losses 19 16
Goals Scored 0.63 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2018 Serie D - Group D
Colligiana vs Mezzolara
0:0
Sep 24, 2017 Serie D - Group D
Mezzolara vs Colligiana
1:2
Feb 19, 2017 Serie D - Group D
Mezzolara vs Colligiana
2:2
Oct 16, 2016 Serie D - Group D
Colligiana vs Mezzolara
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colligiana 22 / 100
Mezzolara 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colligiana Mezzolara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mezzolara Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mezzolara has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Colligiana's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Colligiana has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Colligiana VS Mezzolara
0 Goals Scored 0.63
4 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 50%
100% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Colligiana

(Home)
27 Aug
Grosseto
4 : 0
Colligiana
06 May
Colligiana
2 : 3
Villabiagio
29 Apr
Sangiovannese
1 : 0
Colligiana
22 Apr
Colligiana
0 : 2
Forli FC
15 Apr
Castelvetro
1 : 1
Colligiana
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Mezzolara

(Away)
27 Sept
Mezzolara
0 : 0
Grassina
20 Sept
Ghiviborgo
1 : 1
Mezzolara
16 Sept
Mezzolara
2 : 1
Ternana
12 Sept
Siena
3 : 0
Mezzolara
06 Sept
Mezzolara
0 : 0
Rondinella
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rimini 38 23 11 4 65:38 80
2 Imolese 38 21 8 9 72:45 71
3 Forli FC 38 18 11 9 60:43 65
4 Fiorenzuola 38 16 16 6 50:32 64
5 Sangiovannese 38 17 10 11 42:38 61
6 Lentigione 38 16 12 10 45:33 60
7 Villabiagio 38 17 8 13 52:49 59
8 Pianese 38 14 16 8 54:35 58
9 Montevarchi 38 16 8 14 42:40 56
10 Romagna Centro 38 14 12 12 49:42 54
11 Sammaurese 38 14 12 12 34:29 54
12 Sasso Marconi 38 11 12 15 35:48 45
13 Vigor Carpaneto 38 9 18 11 50:48 45
14 Tuttocuoio 38 10 12 16 25:34 42
15 Sporting Trestina 38 10 11 17 36:52 41
16 Castelvetro 38 10 8 20 46:62 38
17 Mezzolara 38 7 15 16 34:50 36
18 Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro 38 7 12 19 40:62 33
19 Correggese 38 6 14 18 37:55 32
20 Colligiana 38 7 8 23 27:60 29
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2017/2018 (Play Offs)