Sport Picks
Colligiana vs Villabiagio - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie D - Group D 2017/2018 
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group D 2017/2018 game between Colligiana and Villabiagio finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Villabiagio.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
9%
35%
56%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Villabiagio
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
56%
/ Medium Confidence
- Villabiagio carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Villabiagio a 56% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Villabiagio have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Colligiana Clean Sheet 20%
Villabiagio Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Colligiana | Villabiagio |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 4 | 11 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 19 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.63 | 1.2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.7 | 1.3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 6, 2018 Serie D - Group D
Colligiana vs Villabiagio
2:3
Dec 17, 2017 Serie D - Group D
Villabiagio vs Colligiana
4:0
Mar 8, 2015 Serie D - Group E
Colligiana vs Villabiagio
1:0
Oct 26, 2014 Serie D - Group E
Villabiagio vs Colligiana
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Colligiana 28 / 100
Villabiagio 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Colligiana Villabiagio
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Villabiagio Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.
Villabiagio let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.
Colligiana scored in 50% of their last 30 games.
Recent resilience: Colligiana stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Colligiana VS Villabiagio
0.38 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Colligiana
(Home) 27 Aug
Grosseto
4 : 0 Colligiana
06 May
Colligiana
2 : 3 Villabiagio
29 Apr
Sangiovannese
1 : 0 Colligiana
22 Apr
Colligiana
0 : 2 Forli FC
15 Apr
Castelvetro
1 : 1 Colligiana
Page 1 of 6
06 May
Colligiana
2 : 3 Villabiagio
22 Apr
Colligiana
0 : 2 Forli FC
08 Apr
Colligiana
0 : 0 Sasso Marconi
25 Mar
Colligiana
0 : 3 Pianese
11 Mar
Colligiana
1 : 1 Rimini
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Villabiagio
(Away) 06 May
Colligiana
2 : 3 Villabiagio
29 Apr
Villabiagio
0 : 0 Imolese
22 Apr
Lentigione
4 : 0 Villabiagio
15 Apr
Villabiagio
2 : 2 Sammaurese
08 Apr
Vigor Carpaneto
1 : 1 Villabiagio
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06 May
Colligiana
2 : 3 Villabiagio
22 Apr
Lentigione
4 : 0 Villabiagio
08 Apr
Vigor Carpaneto
1 : 1 Villabiagio
25 Mar
Sangiovannese
2 : 1 Villabiagio
18 Mar
Sasso Marconi
2 : 0 Villabiagio
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rimini | 38 | 23 | 11 | 4 | 65:38 | 80 |
| 2 | Imolese | 38 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 72:45 | 71 |
| 3 | Forli FC | 38 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 60:43 | 65 |
| 4 | Fiorenzuola | 38 | 16 | 16 | 6 | 50:32 | 64 |
| 5 | Sangiovannese | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 42:38 | 61 |
| 6 | Lentigione | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 45:33 | 60 |
| 7 | Villabiagio | 38 | 17 | 8 | 13 | 52:49 | 59 |
| 8 | Pianese | 38 | 14 | 16 | 8 | 54:35 | 58 |
| 9 | Montevarchi | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 42:40 | 56 |
| 10 | Romagna Centro | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 49:42 | 54 |
| 11 | Sammaurese | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 34:29 | 54 |
| 12 | Sasso Marconi | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 35:48 | 45 |
| 13 | Vigor Carpaneto | 38 | 9 | 18 | 11 | 50:48 | 45 |
| 14 | Tuttocuoio | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 25:34 | 42 |
| 15 | Sporting Trestina | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 36:52 | 41 |
| 16 | Castelvetro | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 46:62 | 38 |
| 17 | Mezzolara | 38 | 7 | 15 | 16 | 34:50 | 36 |
| 18 | Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro | 38 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 40:62 | 33 |
| 19 | Correggese | 38 | 6 | 14 | 18 | 37:55 | 32 |
| 20 | Colligiana | 38 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 27:60 | 29 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2017/2018 (Play Offs)
