Sport Picks
Colligiana vs Virtus Castelfranco - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie D - Group D 2016/2017 
AI Match Summary
Colligiana in this Serie D - Group D 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Colligiana.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
7%
20%
73%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Virtus Castelfranco
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
73%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Virtus Castelfranco lately — more wins on the board than Colligiana.
- Virtus Castelfranco are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Colligiana Clean Sheet 18%
Virtus Castelfranco Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Colligiana | Virtus Castelfranco |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 6 | 7 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 19 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 0.72 | 0.8 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 1.3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.04 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 2, 2017 Serie D - Group D
Colligiana vs Virtus Castelfranco
2:1
Nov 20, 2016 Serie D - Group D
Virtus Castelfranco vs Colligiana
0:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Colligiana 12 / 100
Virtus Castelfranco 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Colligiana Virtus Castelfranco
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Virtus Castelfranco Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Virtus Castelfranco let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.
Attacking prowess: Colligiana scored in 53% of their last 32 outings.
Colligiana went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Colligiana VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Colligiana
(Home) 27 Aug
Grosseto
4 : 0 Colligiana
06 May
Colligiana
2 : 3 Villabiagio
29 Apr
Sangiovannese
1 : 0 Colligiana
22 Apr
Colligiana
0 : 2 Forli FC
15 Apr
Castelvetro
1 : 1 Colligiana
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06 May
Colligiana
2 : 3 Villabiagio
22 Apr
Colligiana
0 : 2 Forli FC
08 Apr
Colligiana
0 : 0 Sasso Marconi
25 Mar
Colligiana
0 : 3 Pianese
11 Mar
Colligiana
1 : 1 Rimini
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Virtus Castelfranco
(Away) 07 May
Virtus Castelfranco
2 : 1 Fiorenzuola
30 Apr
Rignanese
1 : 3 Virtus Castelfranco
23 Apr
Virtus Castelfranco
1 : 1 Ribelle
13 Apr
Delta Porto Tolle
0 : 1 Virtus Castelfranco
09 Apr
Virtus Castelfranco
1 : 3 Sangiovannese
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30 Apr
Rignanese
1 : 3 Virtus Castelfranco
13 Apr
Delta Porto Tolle
0 : 1 Virtus Castelfranco
02 Apr
Colligiana
2 : 1 Virtus Castelfranco
29 Mar
Imolese
1 : 0 Virtus Castelfranco
26 Feb
Poggibonsi
0 : 1 Virtus Castelfranco
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ravenna | 34 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 52:26 | 65 |
| 2 | Imolese | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 60:35 | 63 |
| 3 | Delta Porto Tolle | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 57:37 | 61 |
| 4 | Lentigione | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 40:31 | 58 |
| 5 | Correggese | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 58:48 | 56 |
| 6 | Castelvetro | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 60:57 | 50 |
| 7 | Scandicci | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 45:55 | 46 |
| 8 | Pianese | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 46:48 | 46 |
| 9 | Mezzolara | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 44:46 | 45 |
| 10 | Rignanese | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 34:35 | 44 |
| 11 | San Donato Tavarnelle | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 50:48 | 44 |
| 12 | Fiorenzuola | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 39:45 | 43 |
| 13 | Colligiana | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 46:47 | 43 |
| 14 | Adriese | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 46:51 | 39 |
| 15 | Ribelle | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 45:46 | 38 |
| 16 | Sangiovannese | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 42:51 | 37 |
| 17 | Virtus Castelfranco | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 25:41 | 33 |
| 18 | Poggibonsi | 34 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 24:66 | 21 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2016/2017 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
