Sport Picks
Match Events
40'
40'
Chippendale A.
43'
43'
Gonzales S.
45'
45'
Green D.
AI Match Summary
Southport in this FA Trophy 2019/2020 tie, finishing 2-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Colne
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Southport haven't matched Colne's recent run of results.
- Model gives Colne a 51% chance of winning this.
- Colne have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Southport, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Colne Clean Sheet 20%
Southport Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Colne | Southport |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 18 | 14 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 9 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.6 | 1.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1.57 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.29 | 1.11 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 23, 2019 FA Trophy
Colne vs Southport
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Colne Compare
Top Goalscorer Chippendale A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Gonzales S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65
Southport Compare
Top Goalscorer Green D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Bauress B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Colne 85 / 100
Southport 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Colne Southport
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Colne Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Southport let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.
Attacking prowess: Colne scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.
Away concern: Southport has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS Southport
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Colne
(Home) 13 Jul
Colne
2 : 3 Clitheroe
06 Jul
Colne
0 : 1 Altrincham
19 Nov
AFC Fylde
2 : 1 Colne
29 Oct
Colne
5 : 0 Warrington Rylands
08 Oct
Hyde
2 : 3 Colne
Page 1 of 6
13 Jul
Colne
2 : 3 Clitheroe
06 Jul
Colne
0 : 1 Altrincham
29 Oct
Colne
5 : 0 Warrington Rylands
24 Sept
Colne
1 : 0 Consett
30 Jul
Colne
2 : 1 Halifax
Page 1 of 3
Southport
(Away) 26 Sept
Southport
2 : 2 Spennymoor
19 Sept
Morecambe
2 : 0 Southport
12 Sept
Worksop
2 : 0 Southport
08 Sept
Southport
2 : 1 Morecambe
05 Sept
Spalding United
2 : 0 Southport
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Morecambe
2 : 0 Southport
12 Sept
Worksop
2 : 0 Southport
05 Sept
Spalding United
2 : 0 Southport
29 Aug
Scarborough Athletic
5 : 1 Southport
18 Aug
Hednesford
2 : 2 Southport
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Workington 0
Farsley 1
York City 0
Altrincham 1
Barnet -
TBD -
Weymouth 1
Hastings 0
Atherton Collieries 1
Boston United 0
TBD -
Barrow -
Runcorn Linnets 0
United of Manchester 3
Peterborough Sports 0
Kettering 3
Torquay -
TBD -
TBD -
Aldershot -
Halifax -
TBD -
TBD -
Wrexham -
Gloucester City 0
Bradford PA 2
Halesowen 1
Gateshead 0
Maidenhead -
TBD -
Haringey Borough 1
Hemel Hempstead 4
Maidstone 3
Dartford 2
Concord Rangers 3
Slough Town 2
Bath City 3
Gosport Borough 2
Sholing 2
Paulton Rovers 1
Kingstonian 2
Sudbury 1
TBD -
Woking -
Guiseley 0
Telford 4
Leamington 2
Spennymoor 1
Enfield Town 4
Maldon & Tiptree 3
TBD -
Ebbsfleet -
King’s Lynn 3
Hereford 0
TBD -
Dover Ath. -
Wealdstone 2
Royston Town 3
TBD -
Boreham Wood -
Hednesford 2
Coalville Town 1
Brackley 0
Chester 1
Leatherhead 0
Dorking Wanderers 3
TBD -
Bromley -
Stockport County -
TBD -
Blyth Spartans 4
Alfreton 2
AFC Fylde -
TBD -
Curzon Ashton 3
Kidderminster 0
Stourbridge 1
South Shields 5
Colne 2
Southport 3
Solihull Moors -
TBD -
Darlington FC 2
Gainsborough 1
Harrogate -
TBD -
TBD -
Hartlepool -
Eastleigh -
TBD -
Braintree 1
Yate 2
Matlock 2
Redditch 0
TBD -
Chorley -
Yeovil -
TBD -
Welling 3
St. Albans 1
Tonbridge 2
Bognor Regis 1
Billericay 1
Hampton & Richmond 2
Chesterfield -
TBD -
TBD -
Notts County -
Sutton -
TBD -
TBD -
Dagenham & Red. -
Oxford City 5
Hornchurch 6
Dulwich Hamlet 4
Chippenham Town 3
Carshalton 2
Tooting & Mitcham 1
Biggleswade Town 1
Aveley 4
Chelmsford 2
Hungerford 1
Havant & Waterlooville 3
Cinderford Town 1
Eastbourne Borough 3
Hartley Wintney 1
Salisbury 4
Hayes & Yeading 3
1/32-finals
Farsley 4
Altrincham 3
Barnet 2
Weymouth 1
Atherton Collieries 2
Barrow 4
United of Manchester 2
Kettering 1
Torquay 5
Aldershot 1
Halifax 4
Wrexham 0
Bradford PA 2
Halesowen 4
Maidenhead 4
Hemel Hempstead 2
Maidstone 2
Concord Rangers 3
Bath City 2
Sholing 0
Kingstonian 3
Woking 1
Telford 0
Leamington 5
Enfield Town 0
Ebbsfleet 2
King’s Lynn 3
Dover Ath. 2
Royston Town 2
Boreham Wood 0
Hednesford 1
Chester 2
Dorking Wanderers 3
Bromley 0
Stockport County 4
Blyth Spartans 2
AFC Fylde 1
Curzon Ashton 0
South Shields 3
Southport 5
Solihull Moors 2
Darlington FC 3
Harrogate 3
Hartlepool 2
Eastleigh 6
Yate 1
Matlock 5
Chorley 4
Yeovil 3
Welling 1
Tonbridge 2
Hampton & Richmond 4
Chesterfield 0
Notts County 1
Sutton 3
Dagenham & Red. 4
Hornchurch 1
Dulwich Hamlet 0
Carshalton 3
Aveley 5
Chelmsford 2
Havant & Waterlooville 1
Eastbourne Borough 2
Salisbury 3
1/16-finals
Farsley 1
Barnet 3
Barrow 7
United of Manchester 0
Torquay 1
Halifax 2
Halesowen 5
Maidenhead 3
Concord Rangers 3
Bath City 2
Kingstonian 1
Leamington 2
Ebbsfleet 1
King’s Lynn 0
Royston Town 3
Chester 0
Dorking Wanderers 5
Stockport County 1
AFC Fylde 4
Southport 1
Darlington FC 0
Harrogate 2
Eastleigh 2
Matlock 1
Yeovil 4
Hampton & Richmond 0
Notts County 2
Dagenham & Red. 1
Hornchurch 1
Aveley 2
Chelmsford 4
Salisbury 0
1/8-finals
Barnet 3
Barrow 0
Halifax 0
Halesowen 1
Concord Rangers 3
Leamington 2
Ebbsfleet 0
Royston Town 2
Dorking Wanderers 2
AFC Fylde 4
Harrogate 2
Eastleigh 0
Yeovil 1
Notts County 2
Aveley 3
Chelmsford 1
Quarter-finals
Barnet 1
Halesowen 2
Concord Rangers 2
Royston Town 1
AFC Fylde 2
Harrogate 3
Notts County 5
Aveley 0
Semi-finals
Halesowen 1
Concord Rangers 2
Harrogate 1
Notts County 0
Final
Concord Rangers 0
Harrogate 1
