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Colombia U17 W vs Peru U17 W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South America South America

South American Championship Women U17 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

71' Event
Diaz I.
89' Event
Torres R.
Assist: Ortiz S.

AI Match Summary

The South American Championship Women U17 2024 game between Colombia U17 W and Peru U17 W finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Colombia U17 W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Colombia U17 W
30%
Draws
8%
Peru U17 W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Colombia U17 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Colombia U17 W come out ahead of Peru U17 W on wins alone.
  • Model gives Colombia U17 W a 62% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Colombia U17 W here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59.8%
Colombia U17 W Clean Sheet 20%
Peru U17 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colombia U17 W Peru U17 W
Matches Played 38 31
Wins 18 4
Draws 9 1
Losses 11 26
Goals Scored 1.37 0.42
Goals Conceded 0.82 3.26
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2025 South American Championship Women U17
Colombia U17 W vs Peru U17 W
3:0
Mar 20, 2024 South American Championship Women U17
Colombia U17 W vs Peru U17 W
2:0
Mar 3, 2022 South American Championship Women U17
Peru U17 W vs Colombia U17 W
0:7
Mar 9, 2018 South American Championship Women U17
Colombia U17 W vs Peru U17 W
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Colombia U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Diaz I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Torres R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Peru U17 W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colombia U17 W 85 / 100
Peru U17 W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colombia U17 W Peru U17 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Colombia U17 W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Peru U17 W conceded in 97% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Colombia U17 W found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (38 games).

Solid form: Colombia U17 W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Colombia U17 W VS Peru U17 W
0.75 Goals Scored 0.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 3.75
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Colombia U17 W

(Home)
09 May
Venezuela U17 W
1 : 0
Colombia U17 W
03 May
Paraguay U17 W
0 : 3
Colombia U17 W
30 Apr
Colombia U17 W
3 : 0
Bolivia U17 W
28 Apr
Colombia U17 W
0 : 0
Chile U17 W
26 Apr
Argentina U17 W
1 : 1
Colombia U17 W
Page 1 of 8

Peru U17 W

(Away)
03 May
Peru U17 W
0 : 3
Venezuela U17 W
01 May
Peru U17 W
0 : 5
Brazil U17 W
29 Apr
Ecuador U17 W
1 : 1
Peru U17 W
25 Apr
Uruguay U17 W
3 : 0
Peru U17 W
24 May
Peru U17 W
0 : 3
Chile U17 W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paraguay U17 W 4 3 1 0 12:3 10
2 Ecuador U17 W 4 2 1 1 11:7 7
3 Uruguay U17 W 4 2 0 2 6:9 6
4 Chile U17 W 4 2 0 2 11:4 6
5 Bolivia U17 W 4 0 0 4 1:18 0
Promotion - South American Championship Women U17 2024 (Final Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brazil U17 W 4 3 1 0 9:1 10
2 Colombia U17 W 4 3 0 1 7:4 9
3 Argentina U17 W 4 1 2 1 4:3 5
4 Peru U17 W 4 1 0 3 1:9 3
5 Venezuela U17 W 4 0 1 3 0:4 1
Promotion - South American Championship Women U17 2024 (Final Group)