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Colombia U20 vs Ecuador U20

South America South America

South American Championship U20
Tue, Jan 28, 2025
VS
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Colombia U20 host Ecuador U20 in the South American Championship U20. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Colombia U20 have averaged 1.63 scored and 0.76 conceded recently, against Ecuador U20's 1.5 scored and 1.19 conceded. Past meetings favor Colombia U20 slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 28, 2025, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.17 - 0.81) back Colombia U20 to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Colombia U20
20%
Draws
24%
Ecuador U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Colombia U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Colombia U20 come out ahead of Ecuador U20 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Colombia U20 a 56% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Colombia U20 here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Colombia U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Ecuador U20 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colombia U20 Ecuador U20
Matches Played 38 26
Wins 26 8
Draws 8 6
Losses 4 12
Goals Scored 1.63 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.76 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2025 South American Championship U20
Colombia U20 vs Ecuador U20
1:0
Jan 28, 2025 South American Championship U20
Colombia U20 vs Ecuador U20
0:0
Nov 19, 2024 Friendly International
Ecuador U20 vs Colombia U20
1:2
Nov 15, 2024 Friendly International
Ecuador U20 vs Colombia U20
1:2
Feb 7, 2023 South American Championship U20
Colombia U20 vs Ecuador U20
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colombia U20 85 / 100
Ecuador U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colombia U20 Ecuador U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Colombia U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Colombia U20 found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (38 games).

Ecuador U20 let in goals in 73% of their last 26 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Colombia U20 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Colombia U20 VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Colombia U20

(Home)
28 May
Colombia U20
2 : 1
Costa Rica U20
26 May
Colombia U20
1 : 0
Costa Rica U20
18 Oct
Colombia U20
1 : 0
France U20
15 Oct
Argentina U20
1 : 0
Colombia U20
11 Oct
Spain U20
2 : 3
Colombia U20
Page 1 of 8

Ecuador U20

(Away)
01 Feb
Ecuador U20
0 : 0
Argentina U20
30 Jan
Ecuador U20
2 : 3
Brazil U20
28 Jan
Colombia U20
1 : 0
Ecuador U20
24 Jan
Bolivia U20
1 : 2
Ecuador U20
20 Dec
Peru U20
2 : 2
Ecuador U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uruguay U20 4 3 0 1 10:2 9
2 Paraguay U20 4 3 0 1 5:8 9
3 Chile U20 4 2 0 2 7:7 6
4 Venezuela U20 4 2 0 2 6:3 6
5 Peru U20 4 0 0 4 3:11 0
Promotion - South American Championship U20 (Final Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colombia U20 4 3 1 0 6:3 10
2 Argentina U20 4 2 2 0 8:1 8
3 Brazil U20 4 2 0 2 5:10 6
4 Ecuador U20 4 1 1 2 4:5 4
5 Bolivia U20 4 0 0 4 4:8 0
Promotion - South American Championship U20 (Final Group)