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Colombia vs Croatia

World World

Friendly International Camping World Stadium, Orlando, FL
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Arias J.
6' Event
Vuskovic L.
Assist: Pasalic M.
40'
Sucic P.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International game between Colombia and Croatia finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Croatia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Colombia
15%
Draws
40%
Croatia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Colombia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Colombia haven't matched Croatia's recent run of results.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Colombia taking it.
  • Regular Friendly International form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Colombia Clean Sheet 20%
Croatia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colombia Croatia
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 15
Draws 6 5
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.75 1.86
Goals Conceded 0.89 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2026 Friendly International
Colombia vs Croatia
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Colombia Compare

Top Goalscorer Arias J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Croatia Compare

Top Goalscorer Vuskovic L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Matanovic I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colombia 58 / 100
Croatia 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colombia Croatia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Colombia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Colombia scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Croatia let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Colombia went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Colombia VS Croatia
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Colombia

(Home)
07 Jul
Switzerland
1 : 0
Colombia
04 Jul
Colombia
1 : 0
Ghana
27 Jun
Colombia
0 : 0
Portugal
24 Jun
Colombia
1 : 0
D.R. Congo
18 Jun
Uzbekistan
1 : 3
Colombia
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Croatia

(Away)
02 Jul
Portugal
2 : 1
Croatia
27 Jun
Croatia
2 : 1
Ghana
23 Jun
Panama
0 : 1
Croatia
17 Jun
England
4 : 2
Croatia
07 Jun
Croatia
2 : 1
Slovenia
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