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Friendly International Camping World Stadium

Croatia

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Colombia play Croatia in the Friendly International. It looks like a close match. Recently, Colombia averaged 1.86 goals scored and 0.89 conceded. Croatia averaged 1.97 goals scored and 1.27 conceded. In past meetings, Colombia won 0, Croatia won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 26, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.81 for Colombia and 1.38 for Croatia. This points to a Croatia double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Colombia

21%

Draws

43%

Croatia

Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Croatia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence

Colombia picked up more points recently compared to Croatia.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.81 vs 1.38 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 64%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 78%

Over 2.5 Goals 64%

Over 3.5 Goals 38%

Over 4.5 Goals 19%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%

Colombia Clean Sheet 17%

Croatia Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 70%

Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Colombia	Croatia
Matches Played	28	30
Wins	14	17
Draws	7	5
Losses	7	8
Goals Scored	1.86	1.97
Goals Conceded	0.89	1.27
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2026 Friendly International

Colombia vs Croatia

Possession: 49% - 42% Cards: 4 - 4

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Colombia Compare

Top Goalscorer Arias J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.45

Avg xA / game 0.94

Croatia Compare

Top Goalscorer Vuskovic L.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Matanovic I.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.59

Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colombia 36 / 100

Croatia 41 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Colombia Croatia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Croatia or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +28.5%

3.57

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +10.1%

1.72

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Colombia attacking → ← attacking Croatia

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Colombia scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Croatia let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Colombia went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Croatia lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

49 Points in last 5 56

1.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.75

1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75